tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-85231335629935005502024-02-02T16:12:29.950-08:00The Market OracleThe Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.comBlogger186125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-62698873314430228142013-01-06T06:46:00.000-08:002013-01-06T06:46:59.154-08:00Buy Recommendation: Ambarella "AMBA"<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUdawXoLQPOY2Bqoakw3NLYA-ETmRtWa3R7EmyKKj3oWFFP3Z5dZP6eigLGvYF7kv06tLCzMlyJXpDpdb-wI2Gs1S3Qr2bCMEMKdj_wRAFUgGmZ2_sfHvZ2f9v7EY2bc4KqEhz-NMcqWrd/s1600/2013Jan-Ambarella-700x700.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUdawXoLQPOY2Bqoakw3NLYA-ETmRtWa3R7EmyKKj3oWFFP3Z5dZP6eigLGvYF7kv06tLCzMlyJXpDpdb-wI2Gs1S3Qr2bCMEMKdj_wRAFUgGmZ2_sfHvZ2f9v7EY2bc4KqEhz-NMcqWrd/s640/2013Jan-Ambarella-700x700.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgDTGWWoA02XV4tXaQZDX3hzs07lk6cF4Muqfvq1zxI6xlAbLJH5wDY2dRGARWg-4uq9ijkYApbkW3ZHJXoq-qSx2SjqDAkcHPdIhyphenhyphenQp-hmyBgJPxpxzEk1_Cm4aHsa4m3hMSJ9nuyqDw9R/s1600/amba.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgDTGWWoA02XV4tXaQZDX3hzs07lk6cF4Muqfvq1zxI6xlAbLJH5wDY2dRGARWg-4uq9ijkYApbkW3ZHJXoq-qSx2SjqDAkcHPdIhyphenhyphenQp-hmyBgJPxpxzEk1_Cm4aHsa4m3hMSJ9nuyqDw9R/s1600/amba.jpg" /></a></div>
It has been more than 6 months since my last post. Honestly, some of my recommendation makes good return and some are not.<br />
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Today I am going to recommend a buy on Ambarella stock quote AMBA because it is a very profitable stock with growing revenue quarter to quarter and huge cash without debt.<br />
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I believe in 3-6 months time, AMBA will hit at least $20 which is almost a 70% gain from the level.<br />
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Good luck to those with follow my recommendation.<br />
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After many years of trading NYSE and Nasdaq market, and many white hairs have start growing on my head, I begin to feel that I may be right this time!<br />
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Good luck and Happy Trading!<br />
<br />The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-85846931231895506372012-03-05T05:02:00.001-08:002012-03-05T05:03:33.091-08:00Dead Cat Bounce? Vocus Inc ("VOCS")<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqQno3rxPTfExoTlNLJ0fwi6hbTN1rtnVZlakUanogtGdJDdHu6P5-qRJBNODTMOS9krlLrz63u0JPOddXOin1hgXR5HDgMupATMIsY6lh2GkdhoH22MAvS2KODk7swyBzV_qsOXCWb73q/s1600/0.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqQno3rxPTfExoTlNLJ0fwi6hbTN1rtnVZlakUanogtGdJDdHu6P5-qRJBNODTMOS9krlLrz63u0JPOddXOin1hgXR5HDgMupATMIsY6lh2GkdhoH22MAvS2KODk7swyBzV_qsOXCWb73q/s1600/0.jpg" uda="true" /></a></div>First of all what is called a Dead Cat Bounce? According to Wikipedia Website, the definition is as per below:<br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">In economics, a dead cat bounce is a small, brief recovery in the price of a declining stock. Derived from the idea that "even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from a great height", the phrase, which originated on Wall Street, is also popularly used to any case where a subject experiences a brief resurgence during or following a severe decline.</div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_4db8T5iaC9tPpnNOAEHO81Qr_F90YE2texao6EyR-LCB63kz3s4kHJ99HyE4c11HaVRnHBMOYPpVlCx33f_eijS7KZrKHxqfd3h3vQbasD9JWYXextIwEpLA2ZvnV9Dhusr810A8K0h6/s1600/1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_4db8T5iaC9tPpnNOAEHO81Qr_F90YE2texao6EyR-LCB63kz3s4kHJ99HyE4c11HaVRnHBMOYPpVlCx33f_eijS7KZrKHxqfd3h3vQbasD9JWYXextIwEpLA2ZvnV9Dhusr810A8K0h6/s1600/1.jpg" uda="true" /></a></div>Today in this post, I will discuss whether Vocus Inc or stock quote "Vocs" will rebound after an incredible dropped of more than 40% in 1 trading days. <br />
First of all, we need to know whether the 40% dropped in Vocs share price is justifiable. Based on my analysis, it is not. The drop of more than 40% is due to Vocs acquisition of I Connect at a high price of $160 million. Although, the acquisition price is high, I believe in the long run, it will help Vocs to become one of the world largest PR company and it will bring the stock price to the sky in the coming future.<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhz1w6u7JnltqXJanJjIKySR13RB_WHOSeyRSvbWIQ_fcy4ok6HYKbCy6gTu8CizJ1Opnz3zS3fQ1AkQlFjU705VrS_TgY9kNkOlbqX_0cQBpR68o005vaWck5clwgt9SXyNZUcXcOlP09g/s1600/2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhz1w6u7JnltqXJanJjIKySR13RB_WHOSeyRSvbWIQ_fcy4ok6HYKbCy6gTu8CizJ1Opnz3zS3fQ1AkQlFjU705VrS_TgY9kNkOlbqX_0cQBpR68o005vaWck5clwgt9SXyNZUcXcOlP09g/s640/2.png" uda="true" width="640px" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtwwOnHPZjo_UrALmP4a_p5DIvCjLcUhpX86vRBXbvjL0Y-K9SCrPRc-n6nNuz2ZR2s-WBk8Hpkmo5b0OI7i3xZ6HpyzGxQhTGW5vtpNfQ8mnm6OLfb9V4q2qg3106R-Dk9nGON2EVbZzr/s1600/6.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtwwOnHPZjo_UrALmP4a_p5DIvCjLcUhpX86vRBXbvjL0Y-K9SCrPRc-n6nNuz2ZR2s-WBk8Hpkmo5b0OI7i3xZ6HpyzGxQhTGW5vtpNfQ8mnm6OLfb9V4q2qg3106R-Dk9nGON2EVbZzr/s1600/6.jpg" uda="true" /></a></div>Based on the long term analysis, Vocs is currently at the crucial support of $13.50 level. Even the financial crisis in 2009 did not bring the share price of Vocs below the current level of $13.50. Therefore, I believe that it will be strongly supported and will not be breached in the coming future. Another reason will be that the dropped of 40% is accompanied by superb high volume of nearly 5 million shares traded. It makes up around 25% of the total paid up capital which is at 20 million. The reason I am bringing this up is to show that the majority shareholder who wanted to sell the shares would have sold already. <br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0Ltu-RfGFjXXkLGm-BClzTEIpxryApt2-4fj8v-u8RXsKGZ6jDmS36IqOMDgjxZObe89q1jqfbdJNaVNiLHi2W-J98RBJ5kVkm2hP8y9_uak2Vz-FA5CGRVgTtucbJBBu2VP9snRCY-g_/s1600/3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0Ltu-RfGFjXXkLGm-BClzTEIpxryApt2-4fj8v-u8RXsKGZ6jDmS36IqOMDgjxZObe89q1jqfbdJNaVNiLHi2W-J98RBJ5kVkm2hP8y9_uak2Vz-FA5CGRVgTtucbJBBu2VP9snRCY-g_/s640/3.png" uda="true" width="640px" /></a></div>Based on the short term chart, the past 2 days trading shown a doji / small shooting star candlestick at the bottow which is a sign of a bullish reversal pattern. Those who have shorted the Vocs in the past 3 trading days accompanied by hiuge volume will have to buy back the share in the market today to cover back its short position. The 4 technical as indicated above also shown that Vocs is currently in a very oversold position. I am expecting this stock to rebound at least 10% in the coming near future. <br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEinzadJqIdvQuNPVZ5LGaFW3BoMFb1tDjTWDWQ6zac85P4NixSDIchmFfFgKQHjWeYwJt4pf9koXvQAJXQaccPGIwrM3tq5GByUMAj0gMwuoDX_zW9poBAMqWOeKfF_kz2cd5Q5Ox_EhNeO/s1600/5.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEinzadJqIdvQuNPVZ5LGaFW3BoMFb1tDjTWDWQ6zac85P4NixSDIchmFfFgKQHjWeYwJt4pf9koXvQAJXQaccPGIwrM3tq5GByUMAj0gMwuoDX_zW9poBAMqWOeKfF_kz2cd5Q5Ox_EhNeO/s1600/5.jpg" uda="true" /></a></div>Based on the latest quarter EPS, Vocs is beating the analyst estimation again. However, on the next coming few quarters, Vocs earning might reduce substantially due to the consolidation of the losses in I Connect post acquisition. <br />
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Disclosure: I am currently long in Vocs with 5,000 shares, I am expecting Vocs to rally more than 10% when the earlier short seller cover its short position today. <br />
However, as usual I will not hestitate to cut my long position if Vocs did not rally today as per my expectation.The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-67155551303023152862012-02-29T20:50:00.000-08:002012-02-29T20:50:02.798-08:00Frontier Communications is Now In the Danger Zone!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjQRa3-c3vZFfpmX9SItJx_WlqYGP1gVEkbrW_ZRgbg01zFQg0HUZdEHIVPsPcnyhQT-p7ZN4giG_MYiFrikUMeqWxYfKYL2xQnK3WT6EKwFMjfFqAv95QP6YBlvk1oWCcmyqOxotx-bPgF/s1600/2012Feb-Frontier+Communications-700x700.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjQRa3-c3vZFfpmX9SItJx_WlqYGP1gVEkbrW_ZRgbg01zFQg0HUZdEHIVPsPcnyhQT-p7ZN4giG_MYiFrikUMeqWxYfKYL2xQnK3WT6EKwFMjfFqAv95QP6YBlvk1oWCcmyqOxotx-bPgF/s640/2012Feb-Frontier+Communications-700x700.png" width="640" /></a></div><br />
I am down by 1% in Frontier Communications ("FTR"). Although it is only 1%, however, it may signal a beginning of a short term downward trend that can cause me lose more than 10%. As per the heading, I am currently in a danger zone for FTR.<br />
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However, I am still holding on to FTR because:<br />
1) Based on the past few candlestick pattern, it is showing multiple candlestick doji with leg which is a sign of indecision and consolidation pattern for a trend. The stock have a high chances of going up futher because the current trend is up and it is now in the consolidation phase. However, if the trend is down, and the multiple doji appeared, then it may signal the consolidation for a downtrend.<br />
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2) Although yesterday, the volume is slightly higher, overall for the past few days, the average volume is low which is good. It means that the selling is no longer strong and is subsiding. <br />
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3) The MACD is still showing a bullish pattern currently. I believe that once the consolidation is over, it will move higher and the current positive MACD sign will continue to go upward.<br />
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However, if things turn sour for FTR, I will not be hestitated to sell immediately. The 1 or 2 days candlestick patterns will decide whether I will continue to hold or cut my losses. <br />
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Disclosure: I am currently invested all my hard earned saving in FTR and is expecting a 20% profit at least. however, I am currently lost about 1% and if it continues to move downward in the next few days, I will definetely cut my loss.<br />
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The Market Oracle prediction is FTR will continue to move upward strongly after this overdue consolidation.The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-20676334335584041012012-02-28T08:44:00.000-08:002012-02-28T08:44:46.013-08:00Show Hand on FTR for at Least 20% gain!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhNRTR_ypLPfVYbEeEbUNVpk6_SzE3jdaWYWKyRAhmlKn7SOdLnhMD1z5n3Gu4_AMHNhvVY0u0x4BTn8NDmIwla57VbXnAawK-AESU8s2R2HtdfS8LJBAUXI0SxRdgxR3QCRU8mOPytaYGJ/s1600/ftr.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="199px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhNRTR_ypLPfVYbEeEbUNVpk6_SzE3jdaWYWKyRAhmlKn7SOdLnhMD1z5n3Gu4_AMHNhvVY0u0x4BTn8NDmIwla57VbXnAawK-AESU8s2R2HtdfS8LJBAUXI0SxRdgxR3QCRU8mOPytaYGJ/s640/ftr.jpg" uda="true" width="640px" /></a></div>Yes thats right, I am currently all in again in FRT. In Poker's Term - Show hand means you bet with everything that you have. This is what I am doing again with FRT after a good profit showing my hand with MGM and ALU. As you can see above, I am fully invested with a stock holding of 15,500. <br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjc4SYifbWbRUv6gUP1KDpJlLXplqSbKdrinSx7FXjXjFAs_Tm3CPfpswROcm6Wwrm5MD24JxstD2z8kXBxdNZYXUff5CD8v9MxXBTpBxUmxBbyZSky-9mBYakn0uYJ6-XBX-Oxh44aM0EK/s1600/ftr+2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="274px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjc4SYifbWbRUv6gUP1KDpJlLXplqSbKdrinSx7FXjXjFAs_Tm3CPfpswROcm6Wwrm5MD24JxstD2z8kXBxdNZYXUff5CD8v9MxXBTpBxUmxBbyZSky-9mBYakn0uYJ6-XBX-Oxh44aM0EK/s640/ftr+2.jpg" uda="true" width="640px" /></a></div>As you can see on todays candlestick trading for FTR, it is going up nice and steady. I particularly like this kind of set up compare to sudden upward rocket movement. A slow and steady upward will have leg and can last longer compare to those sudden upward rocket movement. After downing a glass of tasty red wine, being optimistic, I am predicting that $4.70 today, if not tomorrow (currently FTR is trading at $4.68). <br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpvE00Vn5hyphenhyphenintPbcVEDJW3UWocPIKeV4VhIhAI7JUh0Hi8jzZoE5Z8DIDljeBjbA8-oX5stDvq6kxsgQkPBbtDI3poBGoBcCexjksSeyCXLvzXj_LcUNeau_g-R709oAeR1dg2wcggfHT/s1600/2012Feb-Frontier+Communications-700x700.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpvE00Vn5hyphenhyphenintPbcVEDJW3UWocPIKeV4VhIhAI7JUh0Hi8jzZoE5Z8DIDljeBjbA8-oX5stDvq6kxsgQkPBbtDI3poBGoBcCexjksSeyCXLvzXj_LcUNeau_g-R709oAeR1dg2wcggfHT/s640/2012Feb-Frontier+Communications-700x700.png" uda="true" width="640px" /></a></div>As you can see from my brief analysis on FTR chart, you can clearly see the downward swing trading for FTR. The recent trend movement by FTR is different this time, as it is accompany by superb high volume. If there is a superb high volume, it can means that all the seller who wanted to sell the share have sold and are fully absorb by all the buyers. In other words, there are no more people is selling or shorting FTR. Therefore, the only way for FTR currently is only up.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEggMfpdho2noVj1BeWujbaQ46VYky_y2TTaThONuXI1aPChg_Om2HtetzaVoUybG7M_84PUgjqvx_wM1XWjD4G2DJgMXi08qqVXU-24N4D-QHoLQoKy3JiDKvdhIqdqGHAQiEAzV2aV0HDK/s1600/2012Feb-Frontier+Communications-700x7002.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEggMfpdho2noVj1BeWujbaQ46VYky_y2TTaThONuXI1aPChg_Om2HtetzaVoUybG7M_84PUgjqvx_wM1XWjD4G2DJgMXi08qqVXU-24N4D-QHoLQoKy3JiDKvdhIqdqGHAQiEAzV2aV0HDK/s640/2012Feb-Frontier+Communications-700x7002.png" uda="true" width="640px" /></a></div>Based on the few short term analysis (about 1 or 2 weeks from now), I am expecting FTR to hit at least the $5.4 level for the first resistance and to the $6 level in the coming 1 or 2 months.<br />
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Disclosure: As I have mentioned in the beginning of this post, I am currently show hand again with FTR and I am expecting at least a 20% gain for this trade. I am currently up by 1.3% and I am expecting that at the end of today closing, I will be up by more than 1.5% and subsequently 20% at the end of next month. I am in a big superb long position for this stock.The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-75034234482714036352012-02-26T23:50:00.000-08:002012-02-26T23:50:36.947-08:00Emergency Discovery - Frontier Communications (FTR)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgb4MYlJ0Dhw1kuThoBRO2IV3GCS-jX2mEyGixBMIhZ2uujGVtKZpIWiAlUM513l6VK8BU80iMWyPrrqZxyoH77sWFDIy_3vlegC7gHKxaBme1XTZSKOLnQY3X5VmrOaNdh6HiostOIa-3Q/s1600/presidentialemergencybroadcast.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" lda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgb4MYlJ0Dhw1kuThoBRO2IV3GCS-jX2mEyGixBMIhZ2uujGVtKZpIWiAlUM513l6VK8BU80iMWyPrrqZxyoH77sWFDIy_3vlegC7gHKxaBme1XTZSKOLnQY3X5VmrOaNdh6HiostOIa-3Q/s1600/presidentialemergencybroadcast.jpg" /></a></div>Yes, it is an emergency broadcast at The Market Oracle. We have discover an alien invasion in the stock market- just kidding! We have discover a stock that is worth buying. It is none other than the title for this post which is Frontier Communications (FTR).<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUxjNaMLsOAa3Yg33n0g4P8SZw83hNtJWNapGj1HtrCNL9Z_XpV_xcUs_mc0goGPyjGBMJZW5ec6odqhB4fQgtVPVRyScEhUjL1FU0j_5C6TW_R6ZkZbQ6QeEPr9WKgP7I5o8M3jZmgl4p/s1600/2012Feb-Frontier+Communications-700x700.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" lda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUxjNaMLsOAa3Yg33n0g4P8SZw83hNtJWNapGj1HtrCNL9Z_XpV_xcUs_mc0goGPyjGBMJZW5ec6odqhB4fQgtVPVRyScEhUjL1FU0j_5C6TW_R6ZkZbQ6QeEPr9WKgP7I5o8M3jZmgl4p/s640/2012Feb-Frontier+Communications-700x700.png" width="640px" /></a></div>Based on the short term chart, FTR is currently in the fourth day after a strong upward move with high volume. Normally, if an uptrend is not strong, FTR would have tumble on the fourth day as most of the long players are rushing to cover their position. Even though, the long players have covered the position by selling on FTR, FTR continues at that level and instead go up slightly. It is a very important and major move for FTR. <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKZw0yiWFiNyvB5wunwuLIS49z-1YDeuqB518yliQxsIBPHkZnslhMtf8Ckb1CwC0Iv5h8FF1ZnD6ExxqyT5E8bV_JUF87p1RPQROYItotKFfDneNqplZ3AaC7ANRgPNOEFbcDv0V_6wJz/s1600/2012Feb-Frontier+Communications-700x7002.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" lda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKZw0yiWFiNyvB5wunwuLIS49z-1YDeuqB518yliQxsIBPHkZnslhMtf8Ckb1CwC0Iv5h8FF1ZnD6ExxqyT5E8bV_JUF87p1RPQROYItotKFfDneNqplZ3AaC7ANRgPNOEFbcDv0V_6wJz/s640/2012Feb-Frontier+Communications-700x7002.png" width="640px" /></a><br />
FTR has currently broken the downward trading range and it is definetely a positive signal. Although the downward trading range is not as visible and as apparent, I think it should be clearer in the coming days as FTR continues it upward move.<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZKxMoILbYWW3xz6UqbSZAX7pYBYYH-7bZ526_RoNYUVwIK1LvidcSpECoxIEVKmP5VPB1j3RM8GEfTCWjEvt1ZEWEmwRSpwGjjmyanYuERrLEKpeVplPTJ2cLJHBBXED0b7ReYpVwlY9j/s1600/2012Feb-Micron+Technology-700x700.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" lda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZKxMoILbYWW3xz6UqbSZAX7pYBYYH-7bZ526_RoNYUVwIK1LvidcSpECoxIEVKmP5VPB1j3RM8GEfTCWjEvt1ZEWEmwRSpwGjjmyanYuERrLEKpeVplPTJ2cLJHBBXED0b7ReYpVwlY9j/s640/2012Feb-Micron+Technology-700x700.png" width="640px" /></a></div>This is one very similar good example for FTR. Similar to FTR, MU manages to absorb all the long players who are covering their position on the fourth day, as a result, MU continues its upward climb to more than 30% to the current level.<br />
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<span style="color: #990000;"><strong>Disclosure: I am currently 100% in cash and fully loaded. I am expecting to shoot all my bullets in either FTR or GTI. However, based on the analysis of the 2 very potential stocks, I think I am more likely to go all in for FTR as I can see clearer bullish trend for FTR as compared to GTI. GTI is a bit blur for me at the moment, as GTI can still go down a littler futher before it recover for at least a 10% gain.</strong></span>The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-72969586111922486612012-02-26T00:28:00.000-08:002012-02-26T00:28:14.358-08:00100% Profit Guaranteed Stock to Buy - Graftech International ("GTI")<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZddp5m9IgpezqlB7wpoWsP-dA3V0ElbU3_QykLbu0Fm4NMDqIJAAw8MW7CTnLHLYnItdY-u5nCN8ih4LTB99dro2hSSeByjLSqWptjvu9FKNwBCSUx7F7hIdOpxcMq5xlsFqmzyhOsag7/s1600/gti+1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="427px" lda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZddp5m9IgpezqlB7wpoWsP-dA3V0ElbU3_QykLbu0Fm4NMDqIJAAw8MW7CTnLHLYnItdY-u5nCN8ih4LTB99dro2hSSeByjLSqWptjvu9FKNwBCSUx7F7hIdOpxcMq5xlsFqmzyhOsag7/s640/gti+1.jpg" width="640px" /></a></div>Is there anything such as profit guaranteed and risk free stock to buy? Yes, in The Market Oracle, there is such thing. Of course it is not the above Volkswagon GTI silly! It is none other than Graftech International ("GTI"). The stock code was easy remembered by me as a fan of Volkswagon GTI. I was surfing the Charting Software for a stock to buy next week after I have sold off my position in ALU for around 14% profit. GTI came into my radar after I sold a huge sold of a 2 days ago. <br />
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Anyway, anyhow, here goes my analysis for this potential stock - GTI.<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh024bZTDjqekJOFpev4L_ykxt1VCmUoQIUuRAS8dF9rsEpgckZ6UH6ACwZD_jUU2dyb1CYPKcYIQevNFLxVKKflMsRWkhndFlLDUQw-E6gy6vl0nuYrwljOFzFGG524drL3DnAipeeL5iA/s1600/gti+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" lda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh024bZTDjqekJOFpev4L_ykxt1VCmUoQIUuRAS8dF9rsEpgckZ6UH6ACwZD_jUU2dyb1CYPKcYIQevNFLxVKKflMsRWkhndFlLDUQw-E6gy6vl0nuYrwljOFzFGG524drL3DnAipeeL5iA/s640/gti+2.png" width="640px" /></a></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;">Based on the long term chart, GTI is currently in the range trading of $12 to $18 for being conservative. Alternatively, this stock may hit the upward trading range of $24 if everything is on our side. The strong support is currently at the $12. </div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"> </div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgyWD1sAw9VtWSs15BYxyKkxVo0cuqQtJ-ArXNR-gRLW3WNaQH51piB56YA_4xJdHsqnWfnBQNGbmw_p316ZDyI11rH_X8MMtnXptHDmEE-yqqvbI3Gu25epYghE2TD6KtIe9bD4qXl6plM/s1600/gti+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; cssfloat: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" lda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgyWD1sAw9VtWSs15BYxyKkxVo0cuqQtJ-ArXNR-gRLW3WNaQH51piB56YA_4xJdHsqnWfnBQNGbmw_p316ZDyI11rH_X8MMtnXptHDmEE-yqqvbI3Gu25epYghE2TD6KtIe9bD4qXl6plM/s640/gti+3.png" width="640px" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: left;">The best time to buy for this stock is on next Wednesday which is on the fourth day since the beginning of the thunderous drop for this stock. The reason why is the short seller who borrowed heavily to short this stock may have to cover their position on the third day after which is on next Tuesday. </div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: left;">The reason I am recommending to buy on the 4th day because it is risk free. As on the fourth day, this stock is more stable after the strong sell off, however, if the fourth day continues to go down heavily, then you should hold your purchase as the new round of short selling activity may arised. </div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: left;">As for the target for GTI, I am expecting at least a 18% gain from the current price of around $12.80 to the target price of $15.20 level. Based on the window gap above, the hell window for this stock has been opened and it is only right that it must be closed back. In order to close this window of hell, GTI must reach the $15 at least. The reason why I believe that this window of hell will be closed back sooner or later is due to the fact that GTI is a strong growth fundamental stock. (kindly refer to the quarterly earning below for the explaination)</div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: left;">As for me, I am risk tolerance, therefore I may initiate my purchase immediately on the coming Monday for a higher profit buy higher risk. </div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhSNi6kB-QAsSEqlGhIDbfKGg0ciiVoOFB24QOfH0GhUhd8ZVwN5Xo3dU_3bStfWDib9BqTAgyLPUjDroqmH4jDQhsIeJOLsW2Ufh97c4NzMfq6QYcRDPimpemceUI2U-lPkRFPEWgUWHXi/s1600/gti+4.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" lda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhSNi6kB-QAsSEqlGhIDbfKGg0ciiVoOFB24QOfH0GhUhd8ZVwN5Xo3dU_3bStfWDib9BqTAgyLPUjDroqmH4jDQhsIeJOLsW2Ufh97c4NzMfq6QYcRDPimpemceUI2U-lPkRFPEWgUWHXi/s1600/gti+4.jpg" /></a></div> Based on the quarterly earning growth, honestly, GTI is not performing as expected. It does not show a good growth in its quarterly earning but it does beat the analyst estimates on the past 11 quarters earning. On the current reported quarterly earning on Feb 21, 2012, it does beat the estimates by 1 cent. Although it is not substantial, but it does show something. As a result after the earning releases, GTI was beaten to hell by the stock operators and speculators. Is GTI turbo well deserve to be beaten like that. No, I dont think so. <br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidlekpqJz16Icuw76CETW55kp-IS3Uj8ptmzSe4KnVySWOGjo5zzwiCLA-QCI5c48gLgKF0j7mvQSNft3ukrN8RKyJhB8XMToMh6Y9pUDlnjl4C-bnInksCDYiu1gRKFPb3qOpIWcdnFF9/s1600/gti+5.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" lda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidlekpqJz16Icuw76CETW55kp-IS3Uj8ptmzSe4KnVySWOGjo5zzwiCLA-QCI5c48gLgKF0j7mvQSNft3ukrN8RKyJhB8XMToMh6Y9pUDlnjl4C-bnInksCDYiu1gRKFPb3qOpIWcdnFF9/s1600/gti+5.jpg" /></a></div>Based on the yearly earning, GTI is expecting to report a yearly earniing of $1.09 on 2012. As the world economy continues to improve, I would expect the coming earning to be strong influenced as well. I am predicting more or less, GTI products will be demanded as GTI supply many of its product to many different industry. (Due to the time constraint, I did not analyze into details on the business plan and growth for GTI, however, I am expecting that it will out perform in the coming quarters). <br />
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Disclosure: After 2 straight wins for MGM (19%) and ALU (14%), I must be more careful on my 3rd bet. I am currently fully loaded in cash and I may initiate a long position on GTI in the coming Mondays. When I buy GTI in coming Mondays, as usual, it will be an all in for GTI. I am also expecting at least a 10% gain for GTI based on my estimated entry price at $12.90 on the coming Monday.<br />
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Good luck and God Bless - if there is any.The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-58182985181094284112012-02-18T02:51:00.001-08:002012-02-19T18:49:14.192-08:00With Great Technical Skills Comes Great Profit - ("ALU") $10,000<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkZEKbdETaBCf5kEspK2YPk_ApSASUHVeXh59NWAupWGXS4DNhik8cnhXPdMudkj1ufss0VUs91q97HoXM8LAcSZDhPZ9tW5A0isiUKx-CNuAPIcqYV1mEVlct8jZVIIpckwsB2KJ69umX/s1600/2012Feb-Alcatel-Lucent-700x700.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkZEKbdETaBCf5kEspK2YPk_ApSASUHVeXh59NWAupWGXS4DNhik8cnhXPdMudkj1ufss0VUs91q97HoXM8LAcSZDhPZ9tW5A0isiUKx-CNuAPIcqYV1mEVlct8jZVIIpckwsB2KJ69umX/s640/2012Feb-Alcatel-Lucent-700x700.png" width="640" yda="true" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiOpXBtD8500ZDbDnCHC0sYQ9kPDCERoZhzkF7EtsfbYUmBgYxxAPcuup-HIUCCpPdOvCoUHK7LWiTSLZJViEY8nxC_BU8DSFPo3oHoLWKsn4AkcZWpwHJfec_5n2D8LP0ewXrgvuyM9j87/s1600/1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiOpXBtD8500ZDbDnCHC0sYQ9kPDCERoZhzkF7EtsfbYUmBgYxxAPcuup-HIUCCpPdOvCoUHK7LWiTSLZJViEY8nxC_BU8DSFPo3oHoLWKsn4AkcZWpwHJfec_5n2D8LP0ewXrgvuyM9j87/s640/1.png" width="499" yda="true" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgA3eMz1eBFqRPxkaJ_nA7bOj7sTeegUqLnoYKQPGMxbJ6qYpQe-Bsx6TIAdlpAnMl0s7YKV2RKWtLLZl73UM5ihTK3Z8CHvd8n70Xm6K0OnJdQHGXBOUOwiaqzw5u8lNwaAItsSb-CxZbk/s1600/1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="202" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgA3eMz1eBFqRPxkaJ_nA7bOj7sTeegUqLnoYKQPGMxbJ6qYpQe-Bsx6TIAdlpAnMl0s7YKV2RKWtLLZl73UM5ihTK3Z8CHvd8n70Xm6K0OnJdQHGXBOUOwiaqzw5u8lNwaAItsSb-CxZbk/s640/1.jpg" width="640" yda="true" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">I remember in the Spiderman Movie, his father told Spiderman "With Great Power Comes Great Responsibility", this is the reason why I use the title "With Great Technical Skills Comes Great Profit". This saying is definetely truth for me and it is proven.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">In my previous post, I have advised all my readers to buy at the third day of consolidation - <a href="http://www.themarketoracle.blogspot.com/2012/02/is-it-time-to-buy-alcatel-lucent-alu.html">http://www.themarketoracle.blogspot.com/2012/02/is-it-time-to-buy-alcatel-lucent-alu.html</a> for a risk free profit. Please refer to my last post on reason why I am all in and positive on this stock.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">As for me, I am a risk taker, again as per my previous trade, I have dump all my money and put all my egg is this Alcatel Lucent ("ALU") basket. There is no easy money out there, huge profit comes with huge risk. Everything have its up and down. What goes up will come down and vice versa. I believe it is time for ALU to rally and double m capital.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaZN00gIS55ZDjmRAzP8LpUcVh94j9Bfh_kZOdYvPY6xp938JBQw1mFm1HZCkFAkFaEL1EuiDkbLiHDELVRtTlcPENJpxXt0sEKRk3V6m4diLlRWkNOFDv4FXLRVptQlfAFVDAbgCQlJ-j/s1600/2012Feb-Alcatel-Lucent-700x700.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaZN00gIS55ZDjmRAzP8LpUcVh94j9Bfh_kZOdYvPY6xp938JBQw1mFm1HZCkFAkFaEL1EuiDkbLiHDELVRtTlcPENJpxXt0sEKRk3V6m4diLlRWkNOFDv4FXLRVptQlfAFVDAbgCQlJ-j/s640/2012Feb-Alcatel-Lucent-700x700.png" width="640" yda="true" /></a></div>Based on the short term chart, 2 important indicators point to a overbought position, Stochastic and Bollinger Band, and 1 indicators, MACD, points to a strong upward move position for ALU. Eventhough 2 of my favorite technical indicators are pointing that ALU might head lower in the future, but it is of no big deal for me as I am in ALU for a long term and looking at doubling my capital with ALU. <br />
I believe ALU will move higher in the future as all the high volume during the past six days have been fully absorbed and consolidated. <br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2BYhkNtDORqPQNAyHMKai-Ef4tjPTxKa5JAoTd-HTsI0QBeDF2EG8DzSoUmaLU51YoDNct0wfr7O0AOnFliUO0KCNBRbuCr6BbGPvMbip6CazdTpuTXOcuRhcGq1DGkFnUGWePv6F3ip3/s1600/2012Feb-Alcatel-Lucent-700x7002.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2BYhkNtDORqPQNAyHMKai-Ef4tjPTxKa5JAoTd-HTsI0QBeDF2EG8DzSoUmaLU51YoDNct0wfr7O0AOnFliUO0KCNBRbuCr6BbGPvMbip6CazdTpuTXOcuRhcGq1DGkFnUGWePv6F3ip3/s640/2012Feb-Alcatel-Lucent-700x7002.png" width="640" yda="true" /></a><br />
Based on the long term chart, the long term resistance is at $4.00. I believe with the recent earning growth and business turnaround strategy that is working prefectly, ALU is poses to break record profit and analyst estimates in the coming quarter. This is definetely a stock worth buying for me, especially for those who wants to double their capital or saving within the next few years time.<br />
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Disclosure: I am currently all in for ALU. I have put all my eggs in Alcatel Lucent Basket. I have put all my investment and my hard earned money into ALU. I am currently up by $10,000 about 16% gain in less than 7 days. In the coming future, I am expecting my profit to double. However, if I sense something wrong, I will not hestitate to sell my stock immediately or if I see a sudden extreme surge in ALU stock, I will sell into strength. However, all my action and my trade will be posted only here exclusively at <a href="http://www.themarketoracle.blogspot.com/">http://www.themarketoracle.blogspot.com/</a>The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-23867849242281890382012-02-10T21:55:00.000-08:002012-02-11T05:56:02.586-08:00Is It Time to Buy Alcatel-Lucent ("ALU") Now!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Updated Today:</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1axe9JefUhZ0tqs_HEyrDMGnBLmGtthUTwFWSTvvUHvsvL1_qR4v-caQHaYc_6_LdnGozI0QU2hvpGHauVT_sB1NztQFpvw4scTLol1qiVDXIHh3CZnNc2OiFwCBu-ycNThdfypO3Z6NG/s1600/alu1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1axe9JefUhZ0tqs_HEyrDMGnBLmGtthUTwFWSTvvUHvsvL1_qR4v-caQHaYc_6_LdnGozI0QU2hvpGHauVT_sB1NztQFpvw4scTLol1qiVDXIHh3CZnNc2OiFwCBu-ycNThdfypO3Z6NG/s1600/alu1.jpg" /></a></div> I have discover a very interesting theory a minute ago. I think it will help in our trading decision on ALU, that is why I must share with you all immediately. On Feb 10, 2011, when ALU announced a strong earning of $0.19 beating analyst estimate at $0.16, ALU rally more than 20% as per the chart below: -<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuMqLR-m1-YnXBm2Kx9OOlf2P_RycWiSlN1xW3y4fl_zGT25JJvL2YIz30jNOR1kqJezEgnKVOUkwUKpOIRPksIv9kdud-74CuZx6VBtH7JCnCXnz_mDqE_lTnj1uq57KdgLMtk7QKKl9A/s1600/2011May-Alcatel-Lucent-700x700.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuMqLR-m1-YnXBm2Kx9OOlf2P_RycWiSlN1xW3y4fl_zGT25JJvL2YIz30jNOR1kqJezEgnKVOUkwUKpOIRPksIv9kdud-74CuZx6VBtH7JCnCXnz_mDqE_lTnj1uq57KdgLMtk7QKKl9A/s640/2011May-Alcatel-Lucent-700x700.png" width="640px" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">After ALU rally more than 20% on the day of the announcement on the superb earning, ALU gap higher by 20% (as per the black arrow above). What happen after that? ALU continue to climb more than a whopping 45%. Thereafter, ALU share started to drop after the slowdown in earning growth announcement on May 2011 onward.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">The important thing that I would like to highlight is that eventhough ALU have rally more than 13% on the recent good annoucement, I believe ALU rally might not stop here. I believe there is still another at least 30% rally for ALU. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">=================================================================</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjxlFfmegghNbU9BXFdNn1oMd5gV-D4f88blRKvJl4hh2TQpFrqSyIouAZQDcceUiQ3MrdHS8VfEQ4OS5YcaNsmHBIjEKm0qm0CyY7XXiotX_JQXJMJqjX5H8Ky_rVo-D4AQodyfGKm7ltc/s1600/alu.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjxlFfmegghNbU9BXFdNn1oMd5gV-D4f88blRKvJl4hh2TQpFrqSyIouAZQDcceUiQ3MrdHS8VfEQ4OS5YcaNsmHBIjEKm0qm0CyY7XXiotX_JQXJMJqjX5H8Ky_rVo-D4AQodyfGKm7ltc/s1600/alu.gif" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">Alcatel-Lucent Business Model</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRz1v59dCA15dxQrlgTpdGb-1fO1YY9dBgrpe5lca4wSKrhDNErYbcfvvo_q5QPCcHi4-3PAOjy5XiV4ZIJGiQlTdzPSyDZC9Skk8hXKZsQUEfcPUgNOX9DJGMI2tFu2NfscUSJI2jYkD6/s1600/2012Feb-Alcatel-Lucent-700x700.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRz1v59dCA15dxQrlgTpdGb-1fO1YY9dBgrpe5lca4wSKrhDNErYbcfvvo_q5QPCcHi4-3PAOjy5XiV4ZIJGiQlTdzPSyDZC9Skk8hXKZsQUEfcPUgNOX9DJGMI2tFu2NfscUSJI2jYkD6/s640/2012Feb-Alcatel-Lucent-700x700.png" width="640px" /></a></div>I have been looking at Alcatel-Lucent ("ALU") for a very long time since it was plunging furiously from the high of around $6.00 in 2011 April. ALU seems like dropping all the way towards b<span style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 'MS Mincho'; mso-fareast-language: JA;">ankruptcy</span>. But is it justifiable for this once good stock to be punished like that. The answer is no. ALU is not going into bankruptcy for the near future. Instead the recent quarterly earning has shown a very good result with good growth in its quarterly earning.<br />
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So the important question is "Is It a Good Time to Jump Into ALU now, after yesterday rally of more than 13% to $2.19". The answer is a big yes with 99% chances it will be hitting the level of $2.8 for least a 20% gain in the coming future. However, there is still a 1% chances that ALU will not perform as expected. So how do we determine the 1% chance. The answer for the 1% will be revealed in the next 3 days time.<br />
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The reason why we will know the answer in the next 3 trading days because tonight closing at $2.19 up $0.25 cents for a 13% gained with a huge volume will have to be fully absorbed by the market. All those long contra player will have to cover their long position before the next upward move will be materialize. In other words, those who jump in on credit today will have to pay up for their stock in 3 days time, if they don't have the money to pay up for their stock, then they will have to sell on the 3rd day. You will see the result at the end of the third day after lunch hour or late afternoon.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiy-Wd56jxmNdrEkT1c_ZK20Q82jlqQ14X8z-BjD8weAQUfkvKemKzSXxprcXEOX69CHQUhzZHbhrk8MFeXfOyAr5RbhUJ2KVHYi-q5xmTsJmKY8d77LfwKh9g1azcIfLM8P9xV5w7iQAjR/s1600/2012Feb-Alcatel-Lucent-700x7002.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiy-Wd56jxmNdrEkT1c_ZK20Q82jlqQ14X8z-BjD8weAQUfkvKemKzSXxprcXEOX69CHQUhzZHbhrk8MFeXfOyAr5RbhUJ2KVHYi-q5xmTsJmKY8d77LfwKh9g1azcIfLM8P9xV5w7iQAjR/s640/2012Feb-Alcatel-Lucent-700x7002.png" width="640px" /></a><br />
Based on the long term chart, the first and important resistance is at $2.80. If ALU manages to convincingly penetrate this level, then the next level to target is at $3.90 level. I believe the $3.90 level will be penetrated in the long run, but you must be patience and to hold this stock for a long period of at least 1 year and above.<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgVngWMsexKLZeE51nTHrIR5HR9LtKzLiMrHTMEZk5z5ksXD1aZ1t73vsTK3oBg-_IDNgjDsHPG18APoMuAHff-KBq-cFQypXYf5EIAXzO-bxtKzAyiYSN9mdrTqQm5J9OUUA_B7eo1na1Z/s1600/alu.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="300px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgVngWMsexKLZeE51nTHrIR5HR9LtKzLiMrHTMEZk5z5ksXD1aZ1t73vsTK3oBg-_IDNgjDsHPG18APoMuAHff-KBq-cFQypXYf5EIAXzO-bxtKzAyiYSN9mdrTqQm5J9OUUA_B7eo1na1Z/s640/alu.jpg" width="640px" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Based on the quarterly result from Google Finance, ALU has indeed improve tremendously in its revenue and also operating income. I believe overall the business turn around plan for ALU is definetely working and we could see more improvement of ALU revenue and operating income for the coming future. This stock is definetely a buy based on the fundamental analysis, I would not buy a stock if it goes up by 15% or more without any fundamental justification. Even though, before I initiate any trade, I will look and rely on technical analysis, I would also look at the quarterly earning growth as I believe it is important as well.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Disclosure: Currently I do not hold any stock in ALU, however, I might initate a buy on this stock after the next 3 days and provieded that ALU stays above the the $2.10. However, if ALU failed to hold up at least the $2.00 level, then I will not initiate a buy on this stock. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">For more accurate and real time disclosure in the future, kindly visit my blog regularly because I will immediately post my online statement which I have initiated a buy position for ALU in the coming post.</div>The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-73519268309883644942012-02-07T18:16:00.000-08:002012-02-07T18:16:14.811-08:00GeomancyI have recently came across an article in a magazine which I find it very interesting and holds true based on the life that I am going through. <br />
The summary of the article by David Koh, the Founder and Principal for Malaysian Institute of Geomancy Sciences. In this article, it mentions that One's destiny in life is determined by what I call the '4Rs'. It simply means that success is about being in the <strong><span style="color: red;">right place</span></strong> with the <span style="color: red;"><strong>right people</strong></span> and saying the <strong><span style="color: red;">right thing</span></strong> at the <strong><span style="color: red;">right time</span></strong>. Everything happens for a reason".<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZSj11FYfLR3zTtNtChC0E13JapG8wIcaDbFNFjeRMGxZgBUo0MZVpEy39lcU2pS_5J1VwFr1oBNcR7YQAFMoKeuEmf_cuROQh-3eokh38uXlxxzs8Qtq7bZzME6N7-9_Wrqpn371b0LeP/s1600/1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZSj11FYfLR3zTtNtChC0E13JapG8wIcaDbFNFjeRMGxZgBUo0MZVpEy39lcU2pS_5J1VwFr1oBNcR7YQAFMoKeuEmf_cuROQh-3eokh38uXlxxzs8Qtq7bZzME6N7-9_Wrqpn371b0LeP/s1600/1.jpg" /></a></div>In other words, if you are still not making it in life, it means that you are not in :-<br />
<span style="color: red;"><strong>1) right place</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: red;"><strong>2) meeting the right people</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: red;"><strong>3) do the right thing </strong></span><br />
<span style="color: red;"><strong>4) at the right time</strong></span><br />
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So is there anything you could do about your life? The answer is no, everything is fated. If Mark Zuckerberg did not meet the Winklevoss twins during his years in Harvard, then there won't be Facebook today. It was the Winklevoss twins that have given him the idea of Facebook. <br />
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I believe things happen for a reason and is fated. You are not the destiny to be somebody, then there is no point forcing it, cause no matter how hard you try, you won't be making it, unless you have the luck of the "4Rs". Do you ever experience in your life, no matter how hard you try, you are still not achieving it? However, your average Joe Next Door, is just slumbering throughout his life, but is making it big time as compared to you. That is because he always have the "4Rs" with him.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-UaxKKIRckamuqAvnWRPBf61lritakVeWKOoBJtzOrJBc7_OQkBEDl172XaIEKNIzOZ8Zmqjbf9US8AyqHihXIHjOeVAHqVZwpPF44fWcpO24i8u1h2MJ-pZe62G7auHPzZzq6LBFOnvU/s1600/2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="542" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-UaxKKIRckamuqAvnWRPBf61lritakVeWKOoBJtzOrJBc7_OQkBEDl172XaIEKNIzOZ8Zmqjbf9US8AyqHihXIHjOeVAHqVZwpPF44fWcpO24i8u1h2MJ-pZe62G7auHPzZzq6LBFOnvU/s640/2.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br />
So what is the message that I would like to share in this post? <strong>What will happen, will happen, what's yours will be yours</strong>. It is all in your destiny when you were born. No need to stress out, no need to force it, just take things easy and appreciate and enjoy life. After all, life is short.The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-3054706936481182272012-02-07T01:49:00.000-08:002012-02-07T01:59:46.061-08:00Sold Mpel At $11.71 for A Profit of $3,000<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhf3G3Il2FN6V_9-kldW2j-su-o5WO0-KJh63FIZfoum82IAlOjcC3XyCM2AigGTf9zM-Bj-1qXUJritNNmxdJBHUFtsHmTIpNuqIDyNkDpR8MnjQ5E60xxMtb2-AgSBli0XKgb0tHppXm3/s1600/1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="304" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhf3G3Il2FN6V_9-kldW2j-su-o5WO0-KJh63FIZfoum82IAlOjcC3XyCM2AigGTf9zM-Bj-1qXUJritNNmxdJBHUFtsHmTIpNuqIDyNkDpR8MnjQ5E60xxMtb2-AgSBli0XKgb0tHppXm3/s640/1.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>Yesterday I have sold Melco Crown Entertainment ("Mpel") for a profit of only $3,000. Initially, I was up by $5,000 but now my realized profit was halved to $3,000. It is a good decision that I have sold it off? This is a question that came on and off in my head after I have sold it. Do I regretted it? Maybe, but there are solid reason for my action. My reasons are:-<br />
<b><i>1) I cannot afford to lose in any one trade, in other words, I must win 100%.(due to my personal commitment)</i></b><br />
<b><i>2) I was wrong in predicting that Mpel has broke the important resistance at $12.00, in fact the important resistance was not broke, Mpel merely flirted with it for a brief interval. </i></b><br />
<b><i>3) The China Stock Exchange under "SSE" continues to tumble downward with due to news on China Economy slowing down. With today tumbling more than 1.68%. (Please refer to the chart of SSE at the bottom of this post)</i></b><br />
<b><i>4) DJIA has met the important and all time resistance o</i><i>f 12,800 which is at current level.</i><i> (Pl</i></b><b><i>ease refer to the chart of DJIA at the bottom of this post)</i></b><br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmHwKZeYsdmgkvDGN5sD7VZwEDiaClVc-q_t1fie8dmEYNvjH08UBbA_T0Pq1al6arZq71MUmCvmoWLmhdSVPBM21Wr532Q34sdwPG_0q7sg99lBOVwN_pofkTKcCWEcb4eUJIwT0OD_u0/s1600/Melco+Crown+Entertainment+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmHwKZeYsdmgkvDGN5sD7VZwEDiaClVc-q_t1fie8dmEYNvjH08UBbA_T0Pq1al6arZq71MUmCvmoWLmhdSVPBM21Wr532Q34sdwPG_0q7sg99lBOVwN_pofkTKcCWEcb4eUJIwT0OD_u0/s640/Melco+Crown+Entertainment+1.png" width="640" /></a></div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRSD-hN-fTleN8bzWLqcJrmEkP2BSdo7F2IustC17Ym8TXXZ0dB2OiI0w7W5Te4FTwGzQAB0h2Up6yELt2D5Y6p6p-a0Db_Ya19JSkXb_YsiDRhv7nxF_vC4J6jRFIZa7TyKvWMbjQ4DOO/s1600/Melco+Crown+Entertainment-+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRSD-hN-fTleN8bzWLqcJrmEkP2BSdo7F2IustC17Ym8TXXZ0dB2OiI0w7W5Te4FTwGzQAB0h2Up6yELt2D5Y6p6p-a0Db_Ya19JSkXb_YsiDRhv7nxF_vC4J6jRFIZa7TyKvWMbjQ4DOO/s640/Melco+Crown+Entertainment-+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>Yesterday closing at $11.66 which lost around 3.44% has prompted me take take immediate action to sell Mpel. I have no choice because Mpel did not move as per my earlier prediction. I have predicted that Mpel will continue to move up ahead after crushing the important resistance at the $12 level. The 1 down long red candlestick is also a very bearish sign. It indicates that Mpel will continue to face more resistance in the coming future. I also believe that the coming earning announcement in Feb 9 which is three days from today, will not be good. If it is good, then Mpel stock will have move up these few days as insider trading will have move the stock upward. If you tell me there is no insider trading in the market, you probably do not understand the wicked world of stock market, my best advise is for you to watch the movie Wall Street "Money Never Sleeps". Insider trading is rampant, I believe Mpel will not be an exception to it.<br />
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Now, lets bring Wynn into the picture on why I have sold Mpel.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhyMdCWyXNQTLo9wmR4dFdMF35UwN7oqsJRlw-GuYmRrQBMxR6sbPQDKWGEBy9eAYMA5uyfPpUuqvFM1jw0U8owPjrLzKCvCjcljBgTw6vt5i10UFzKQWy2z5Q3WhHVHRlcYk4nVlTTCSzQ/s1600/wynn0.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhyMdCWyXNQTLo9wmR4dFdMF35UwN7oqsJRlw-GuYmRrQBMxR6sbPQDKWGEBy9eAYMA5uyfPpUuqvFM1jw0U8owPjrLzKCvCjcljBgTw6vt5i10UFzKQWy2z5Q3WhHVHRlcYk4nVlTTCSzQ/s1600/wynn0.jpg" /></a></div>Firstly, if you would have look at the recent quarterly earning of Wynn, even though, it has crushed analyst prediction by a whopping 20% more, the stock is only up by around 2%, and then go downhill all the way afterward. <br />
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By right, if Wynn is beating the analyst estimates with a whopping 20%, Wynn stock should be moving up all the way. However, instead of going up, it is going down. There is definitely something fishy going on here. I believe that the fund manager, stock operators, and block traders know something that we don't know. It may be due to the slowing casino revenue growth in Macau which have yet to be reported. Anyway, it makes me think that what if Mpel reported growth in earning in the coming quarters, but Mpel is going nowhere, just like Wynn. Or to make matter worst, Mpel may report earning below analysts estimates, and it will send the stock down tumbling more than 10%. Either up or down on Mpel quarterly earning, it looks like Mpel stock is not going anywhere but down as per the example from Wynn.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh07ZJHGIaM91uJ2RzteAmXBewe3npYHK4zvT8ICFzKUin_8cd7wOAcL4Y6NL0-lKsUDir6uLg0e6XNAdEZZN1Es6M7HjP1Ndgt1MoMczTxkRxBN_65qKYnJ7FkA-IcH5wvz7YER5b4imXU/s1600/wynn+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh07ZJHGIaM91uJ2RzteAmXBewe3npYHK4zvT8ICFzKUin_8cd7wOAcL4Y6NL0-lKsUDir6uLg0e6XNAdEZZN1Es6M7HjP1Ndgt1MoMczTxkRxBN_65qKYnJ7FkA-IcH5wvz7YER5b4imXU/s640/wynn+1.png" width="640" /></a></div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgndBPbgcVkBUJzQc7ZMZYQzEzMLv8jqdEcqK5njdQphz3FWth7eXwoeKfZvZwEkWiKFThx1XahmVpAX2TSDSlTCFys_yBrGQVMf5TtzODlpLOF3nPvFCutFPCrfOvZyOlEEaUJ7RwFd7cI/s1600/2012Feb-Dow+Jones+Industrial-700x700.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgndBPbgcVkBUJzQc7ZMZYQzEzMLv8jqdEcqK5njdQphz3FWth7eXwoeKfZvZwEkWiKFThx1XahmVpAX2TSDSlTCFys_yBrGQVMf5TtzODlpLOF3nPvFCutFPCrfOvZyOlEEaUJ7RwFd7cI/s640/2012Feb-Dow+Jones+Industrial-700x700.png" width="640" /></a></div>Based on the simple long term chart of DJIA, DJIA has meet the important resistance at the current level. To break this resistance might be a miracle as I believe this long multi years resistance is a tough job to break. <br />
<br />
Conclusion:<br />
To wrap things up here, I have sold Mpel for a profit of $3,000 and I wont be regretted by my action even Mpel will continue to move upward after today. In the past, I have always make mistake and lost lots of money due to my greediness of always wanted to make more money. However, sometimes, it is not worth the risk, in this case, for my Mpel trade, it is definitely not worth the risk to hold Mpel for the coming short term, as the overall market is very volatile now, a bad news from Europe of Asia can sent the world stock markets down and the whole world back into recession.<br />
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Disclosure:<br />
I have sold all the stock that I have invested in Mpel. I am currently 100% in cash position. I may initiate purchase in Mpel stock once it move down to the strong support at $8.50 level.<br />
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Last but not least, I would like to thank the our regular visitors, Dale and Zoozoocracker1@yahoo.com for their kind suggestion and advised on my Mpel trade.The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-73630678786471236172012-02-05T06:01:00.000-08:002012-02-05T06:01:22.470-08:00Melco Crown Entertainment to Continue its Second Upward Wave<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgohi6DnJ0Ny_euWixvPnfifljNnNUSDFrgMGkUeAfkDzCM0ZZ-GtfoQuzG4ciDWodIZLaR-yUKXp9RT1px34fu6BDZElflVJZ1lOwxwiLh8M-kFCmjo6AR-SF0jprQyvsW_SZSxh923JPX/s1600/mpel00.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="189" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgohi6DnJ0Ny_euWixvPnfifljNnNUSDFrgMGkUeAfkDzCM0ZZ-GtfoQuzG4ciDWodIZLaR-yUKXp9RT1px34fu6BDZElflVJZ1lOwxwiLh8M-kFCmjo6AR-SF0jprQyvsW_SZSxh923JPX/s640/mpel00.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>As of today, I have earned around $5,000 from my trade in Melco Crown Entertainment ("Mpel") stock. So what should I do now after earning $5,000? Should I realized my gain and then head to Amazon website and pick up few more Invicta Diver and Speedway watches? One of my regular visitor to this blog - Dale, have asked why I sold my MGM stock and bought Mpel, wouldn't it be more profitable if I would have stayed with my MGM investment? One question after another, looks like there are never ending questions with no one accurate answer to them. In my today's post I will answer all the hard questions above.<br />
<br />
So far I am dead right predicting on the every move on Mpel based on my previous few posts on Mpel. Am I a god or a genius, I am none of both. I am just a regularly trader who is trying to make some money in my Mpel trade. I am a regular guy just like you, my loyal blog reader. You too can earn the easy money and predict the movement of Mpel as accurate as me and even beat me.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgPKdMTmvSb37mTWnLwRCJLiKYSpAneZWBjwNzMXklON2fsynzTX8UmhXSG3WOKDBx0vprFqqs8zdjx8hRyJ4e4tqL4gnJABKT9qaourkDTdOZ_y_DG113TE50W5e2I5d2uOVWjQaHpTSve/s1600/city+of+dreams.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="446" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgPKdMTmvSb37mTWnLwRCJLiKYSpAneZWBjwNzMXklON2fsynzTX8UmhXSG3WOKDBx0vprFqqs8zdjx8hRyJ4e4tqL4gnJABKT9qaourkDTdOZ_y_DG113TE50W5e2I5d2uOVWjQaHpTSve/s640/city+of+dreams.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>I have visited Macau in 2009, when I visited at that time, the City of Dream by Mpel is still in the opening stage. There are not many people there at that time. Now, I believe things have took a turned in City of Dream, the last time I have checked the news on City of Dream, people are flocking there like nobody business, it is now pact with people. What a nicely taken picture above. With its business 100% focus in the strong Macau growth, I believe Mpel is indeed the future. <br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibPYrEbfLx8MHOIIwf3USq4q6kTOnpj0KbURvt5ETO_OEnkTXG5qIatASXjcQRLs3v3mjxZqMgDkEVAuozhopVjTuUz58Wy1fXH9Rkd7Gl7Ltv0ZUsvGbQ5MYZv3k51vSkA9N3UcKGh1oe/s1600/2012Feb-Melco+Crown+Entertainment-700x700.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibPYrEbfLx8MHOIIwf3USq4q6kTOnpj0KbURvt5ETO_OEnkTXG5qIatASXjcQRLs3v3mjxZqMgDkEVAuozhopVjTuUz58Wy1fXH9Rkd7Gl7Ltv0ZUsvGbQ5MYZv3k51vSkA9N3UcKGh1oe/s640/2012Feb-Melco+Crown+Entertainment-700x700.png" width="640" /></a></div> Based on the short term chart, Mpel has already broke the important resistance of $12. Both my favorite important indicators are showing a fresh upward signal for Mpel. Initially, both indicators have started to point downward movement for Mpel, however, in the latest few days closing, both the technical indicators have changed and now it points to a fresh upward move for Mpel. Please refer to my highlighted red circle as per the above chart. Also, the huge volume on the 2 volume indicators have been absorbed without any problem.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg75E7HOnth0FSPoe42XxXiD6zpmJSGN6Zh1gv3ICNhKK-QUCbKqBACbdcK31oR_wce_2gOMeAV-xI2_N1OLVqtAbF4xbJQdlzhHiU1jbsQ4_A87OX6EtJ2f9TAtDYKa48l9ApHjCVuqpK9/s1600/2012Feb-Melco+Crown+Entertainment-700x7002.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg75E7HOnth0FSPoe42XxXiD6zpmJSGN6Zh1gv3ICNhKK-QUCbKqBACbdcK31oR_wce_2gOMeAV-xI2_N1OLVqtAbF4xbJQdlzhHiU1jbsQ4_A87OX6EtJ2f9TAtDYKa48l9ApHjCVuqpK9/s640/2012Feb-Melco+Crown+Entertainment-700x7002.png" width="640" /></a></div>Based on the long term chart, I am predicting that Mpel will 3 upward wave to the year long resistance of $16. After the 3 waves, then we will decided what is next as I will be analyzing the chart at that future point in time. We are currently in the beginning of the 2nd upward trend which will take Mpel to the $14 level and then consolidate slightly and being the next wave which will take Mpel to the $16 level.<br />
<br />
However, all these can change if the next quarterly on the Feb 9, 2012. On Feb 9, 2012, I believe this stock will have either tumble or jump forward after the earning release. For those who have insider information, I believe earning at least 10% is not a problem. I do not have insider information on Mpel, what I have is my skill to correctly predict Mpel daily stock movement.<br />
<br />
Another important news that concerned me a lot is that on Jan 31, 2012, some analyst reported that Mpel has lose market share of around 2% in January. I do not know whether the news is true or not, and I do not know to what extend this news will impact the stock price on the quarterly earning release on Feb 9, 2012. However, I believe that Mpel will not have a high impact because the Mpel eventually recover back around 7% after this unfortunate news.<br />
<br />
Well as for my reader Dale, the reason I have shifted all my investment from MGM into Mpel is because of the following:<br />
1) MGM is a very risky stock with high debt position, any negative news on its debt position will easily make MGM to tumble 10% or more.<br />
2) Even though MGM business is turning around with high revenue growth reported quarter over quarter, MGM is currently still making losses until based on analyst estimates it is does not make profit even until 2013. <br />
3) I have relied on my technical analysis skill, however, I still do not ignore my fundamental analysis as I believe, fundamental analysis such as the financial statements of the stock will impact the long term movement of the price. It will definitely affect the long term trend of the stocks.<br />
<br />
Even though I am deeply saddened by my move from MGM to Mpel, as of current I have earned less around 3-4% or around $3,000-$4,000 more from my shift, however, I have not regretted my move as I believe, in the coming future, Mpel can easily overtake MGM in price. Also, by selling MGM, I have managed to scoop up more stock in Mpel as at the point in time, MGM stock price is more higher than Mpel price.<br />
<br />
The important date that I am now curiously waiting for is Feb 9, 2012, as it will be a very date where it will move the stock price up as predicted in this posting. <br />
However, if I am wrong, I believe, that Mpel in the long run is still a viable and good stock to be heavily invested into.<br />
<br />
Disclosure: Currently I am all invested Mpel stock, I have invested every single penny that I have in Mpel. Therefore, currently I do not longer hold any cash position and I intend to go through this month expenses through my credit card. I am also expecting that all the prediction in this post about Mpel stock price will come true. <br />
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<div id="above"> <div class="switchtoheader"> <div class="aboveleft" id="aboveleft"> <div class="headlines assetContainer pressrelease"> <div class="withoutdred" style="float: left;"><h1>Melco Crown Entertainment Announces Earnings Release Date</h1></div></div></div></div></div><div id="mainstory"> <div class="pressreleaselogo"><img src="http://i.marketwatch.com/MW5/content/story/images/PR-Logo-GlobeNewswire.gif" /> </div><div class="" id="">NEW YORK, Feb 1, 2012 (GlobeNewswire via COMTEX) -- Melco Crown Entertainment Limited (sehk:6883) <span class="quotePeekContainer"><span class="quotepeekbase bgQuote down" id="quote1246863542"><a class="" href="http://www.blogger.com/investing/stock/MPEL?link=MW_story_quote"><span class="bgChannel">/quotes/zigman/104187</span><span class="bgRealtimeChannel">/quotes/nls/mpel</span> <span class="symbol">MPEL</span> <span class="data bgPercentChange symbol">-0.37%</span> </a></span></span>, a developer and owner of casino gaming and entertainment resort facilities focused on the Macau market, today announces that it will file its fourth quarter and full year results for 2011 on Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on February 9, 2012, to be followed by a conference call on the same day at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time (or 9:30 p.m. Hong Kong Time). </div><div class="" id="">============================================================</div><div class="" id=""> </div><h1>Melco Crown Leads Casino Stock Declines: Hong Kong Mover</h1><span class="date" id="pubDate">January 31, 2012, 7:20 PM EST</span></div><div id="mainstory"><span class="date" id="pubDate"> </span></div><div id="mainstory"><div class="partner"><cite>By Vinicy Chan</cite> </div>Jan. 31 (Bloomberg) -- Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd., the casino venture between Lawrence Ho and Australian billionaire James Packer, dropped the most in seven weeks, leading gambling stock declines in Hong Kong trading.<br />
<div class="indent">Melco Crown slid as much as 5.6 percent to HK$28.10, the biggest intraday drop since Dec. 9, before trading at HK$28.20 as of the 12 p.m. local time trading break. Rivals Wynn Macau Ltd., a unit of Las-Vegas based Wynn Resorts Ltd., sank 4.8 percent to HK$19.7, and SJM Holdings Ltd. declined 3.3 percent to HK$13.32.</div><div class="indent">“Melco Crown is losing market share to competitors; its market share in January is expected to drop by up to 2 percentage points on a monthly basis which may explain why it is leading the decline,” said Victor Yip, a Hong Kong-based analyst at UOB Kay Hian Ltd. Lawrence Ho is the son of Macau casino billionaire Stanley Ho.</div><div class="indent">Total gaming revenue for all Macau casino operators in January may be less robust than earlier estimates of as much as 28 billion patacas ($3.5 billion), Yip said. Melco Crown’s market share may drop to 12 percent in January from 14 percent in December, he said.</div><div class="indent">“Through our various channel checks, the revenue is expected to reach roughly 24 billion patacas,” Yip said.</div><div class="indent">Sands China Ltd., a unit of Las Vegas Sands Corp., said on Jan. 30 that visitors to its Macau casinos rose by 5 percent to 6 percent to more than 1 million during the Lunar New Year that took place between Jan. 23 and Jan. 29.</div><div class="indent">Sands China shares dipped 2.8 percent to HK$26.1. The stock has jumped 19 percent this year, outperforming the 10 percent gain in the Hong Kong benchmark Hang Seng Index.</div><div class="indent">Galaxy Entertainment Group, the company controlled by Hong Kong tycoon Lui Che-Woo, dropped 1.5 percent to HK$16.80.</div>--Editors: Stephanie Wong, Robert Fenner<br />
--Editors: Stephanie Wong, Robert Fenner<br />
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Source (from Bloomberg website) <br />
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===========================================================</div>The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-65937587344527196492012-02-04T00:00:00.000-08:002012-02-04T00:02:47.670-08:00Free Invicta Watches<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsg4LoY3KK-qSha2m0aQ9ADJD_h2iX9LXkZGRyurOTOwGtAgLp5OysDi9iR36Eoug2TRmAZs_vUSEGiuC9RVxexlgrhqsoJqniwqUnWlix-5r58baL92_wjWvFtRkfco9KOyYMVYoIoACB/s1600/1.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="480px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsg4LoY3KK-qSha2m0aQ9ADJD_h2iX9LXkZGRyurOTOwGtAgLp5OysDi9iR36Eoug2TRmAZs_vUSEGiuC9RVxexlgrhqsoJqniwqUnWlix-5r58baL92_wjWvFtRkfco9KOyYMVYoIoACB/s640/1.JPG" width="640px" /></a></div>Yes, it is indeed free watches for me. I have rewarded myself with these free wacthes after my profit of more than $10,000 trading ini MGM shares. (Please refer here for more details: <a href="http://www.themarketoracle.blogspot.com/2012/01/sold-mgm-for-profit-of-10819.html">http://www.themarketoracle.blogspot.com/2012/01/sold-mgm-for-profit-of-10819.html</a>)<br />
I have bought myself these 4 watches at Amazon website and have just reeived it yesterday. It is indeed very good quality watches for a very good price. <br />
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I owned 1 Rolex, 3 Tag Heuer, 1 Tissot, and few other branded and non branded watches. However, I like the Invicta Watches very much as it is of good quality and it have good japanese movement inside it. The watch widow glass is also made of Invicta version of scratch resistant crystal called Flame Fusion. So far I am very delighted on the 4 watches eventhough I have not wear it yet, I have already inspected the four watches in detail and I find it all flawless at this point in time. Four of the watches that I have bought also resemble the Rolex model. From far, I couldnt notice whether it is Rolex or Invicta, cause it almost look exactly the same, except that the logo is different. I particularly like the stainless steel watches, as I tend to sweat easily. <br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiYlqp49aetphHi1xsXrKymJLjGAxZJ08_Aa2FCa4KBshVCYEU58mJqwAO6wE9h_4J-aOWs0LNeb3fOacDpH42zSSdBCWULzR40kEB9u44kaZQRPpbdiUGwXZ35LB1vImV6YR2R7RxyOOfW/s1600/2.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="480px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiYlqp49aetphHi1xsXrKymJLjGAxZJ08_Aa2FCa4KBshVCYEU58mJqwAO6wE9h_4J-aOWs0LNeb3fOacDpH42zSSdBCWULzR40kEB9u44kaZQRPpbdiUGwXZ35LB1vImV6YR2R7RxyOOfW/s640/2.JPG" width="640px" /></a></div>Another picture taken from the side. I am not so satisfied with the pictures taken as it is not as bright as I expected.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh0swK9OvGtOXKdXzcXyprYDq3MlwDFO8GOT8G2EN6GDZPiriMfV_5pYMcOCSe6ug5LumsvD9Vfi2esVSpyYF6BTCB-uJE-020o2Uby_CZgLoQy4fIafTaLnMv2Yuy5ic8ejBiIxNAwgpng/s1600/3.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="480px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh0swK9OvGtOXKdXzcXyprYDq3MlwDFO8GOT8G2EN6GDZPiriMfV_5pYMcOCSe6ug5LumsvD9Vfi2esVSpyYF6BTCB-uJE-020o2Uby_CZgLoQy4fIafTaLnMv2Yuy5ic8ejBiIxNAwgpng/s640/3.JPG" width="640px" /></a></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Watch Information </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Brand Name: Invicta </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Model number: 1771 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Part Number: 1771 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Item Shape: round </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Dial window material type: flame-fusion </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Display Type: analog </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Clasp: fold-over-clasp-with-safety </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Metal stamp: 316L </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case diameter: 44.00 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case Thickness: 12.00 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band length: mens-standard </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band width: 22 millimeters </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band Color: silver </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Dial color: blue </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Bezel material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Bezel Function: unidirectional </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Special Features: chronograph, luminous, stop-watch </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Movement: japanese-quartz </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Water resistant depth: 200 Meters </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqwW3Ggr2b5zRykQ8GwtgFsPHasySh6RqbffKauLGe08TdCHPORwoBM65Z0zU3aBwLBnfwJihlLgN8RfU7uFIlDPm8E3uOpTan0fZhiH7mf384BPtSC3CNzn360uNE4MsdVNF0Pf3s_y4Z/s1600/4.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="480px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqwW3Ggr2b5zRykQ8GwtgFsPHasySh6RqbffKauLGe08TdCHPORwoBM65Z0zU3aBwLBnfwJihlLgN8RfU7uFIlDPm8E3uOpTan0fZhiH7mf384BPtSC3CNzn360uNE4MsdVNF0Pf3s_y4Z/s640/4.JPG" width="640px" /></a></div><br />
Watch Information <br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Brand Name: Invicta </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Model number: INVICTA-3045 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Part Number: 3045 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Model Year: 2011 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Item Shape: round </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Dial window material type: Mineral </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Display Type: analog </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Clasp: fold-over-clasp-with-safety </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case diameter: 52 millimeters </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case Thickness: 17 millimeters </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band length: mens </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band width: 22 millimeters </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band Color: Silver </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Dial color: blue </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Bezel material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Bezel Function: unidirectional </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Calendar: Date </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Special Features: luminous </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Movement: automatic-self-wind </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Water resistant depth: 1000 Feet </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhpd4MntRkAhE29jthoUvqiHUomQp0ZUL4mnuRmyZE-OOSca6ijWppn92QRfKTIOoXEzVKj9l0T1yJyj-ubr7BuP2rYbalL6JQXpVOB4fj1ekkOb4yIHsrf3sg067ApK-jtpz3Y693mErwR/s1600/5.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="480px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhpd4MntRkAhE29jthoUvqiHUomQp0ZUL4mnuRmyZE-OOSca6ijWppn92QRfKTIOoXEzVKj9l0T1yJyj-ubr7BuP2rYbalL6JQXpVOB4fj1ekkOb4yIHsrf3sg067ApK-jtpz3Y693mErwR/s640/5.JPG" width="640px" /></a></div><br />
Watch Information <br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Brand Name: Invicta </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Model number: INVICTA-8926 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Part Number: 8926 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Model Year: 2011 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Item Shape: round </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Dial window material type: Mineral </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Display Type: analog </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Clasp: fold-over-clasp-with-safety </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case diameter: 38 millimeters </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case Thickness: 12 millimeters </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band length: mens </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band width: 20 millimeters </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band Color: silver </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Dial color: black </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Bezel material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Bezel Function: unidirectional </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Calendar: Date </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Special Features: water-resistant </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">item-weight: 16 Ounces </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Movement: japanese-automatic </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Water resistant depth: 660 Feet </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFHathyphenhyphenVxPw9W4KpWc1myeOkjGf70-pYDNH92O1M0h7z_7nFSYWUM8wVRYn180Wn7kckjRFjqzznbBMSHIPqfCF9DYWRMt06luu4CHUle7vTy7blLxdjHprMcbLdthf41Te2qi7bMTWvz0/s1600/6.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="480px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFHathyphenhyphenVxPw9W4KpWc1myeOkjGf70-pYDNH92O1M0h7z_7nFSYWUM8wVRYn180Wn7kckjRFjqzznbBMSHIPqfCF9DYWRMt06luu4CHUle7vTy7blLxdjHprMcbLdthf41Te2qi7bMTWvz0/s640/6.JPG" width="640px" /></a></div><br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Watch Information </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Brand Name: Invicta </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Model number: INVICTA-9223 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Part Number: 9223 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Model Year: 2011 </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Item Shape: round </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Dial window material type: Mineral </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Display Type: analog </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Clasp: fold-over-clasp-with-safety </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case diameter: 43 millimeters </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Case Thickness: 11 millimeters </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band length: mens </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band width: 20 millimeters </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Band Color: silver </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Dial color: black </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Bezel material: stainless-steel </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Bezel Function: Tachometer </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Calendar: Date </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Special Features: luminous </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">item-weight: 16 Ounces </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Movement: japanese-quartz </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Water resistant depth: 660 Feet </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Once I realized another more than $10,000 profit trading in Melco Crown Entertainment ("Mpel") stock, I am thinking to buy another 8 Invicta Watches. </div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">Please check out my Mpel daily analysis on my next post. </div><br />
<strong>Disclosure: This is my first four Invicta Watches that I have bought, I intend to buy more when I have cash out my profit in Melco Crown Entertainment stock trade.</strong>The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-39101430290341147882012-02-01T00:55:00.000-08:002012-02-01T01:12:58.382-08:00Melco Crown Entertainment Must Rally Today! Feb 1, 2012<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOxGje2yCOHHcR7TgPGtv0HaBYUKu-kS9gJqUiRY3Du-EapyZw00vzUUVDhwJPYciDX7rNCpkshFQSR_hAjohz__9E8PK8tdrrCK3cgGGc92jo0hPj8Jy8xfdhOs8Q8j0dKYjGykvswJkD/s1600/mpel1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOxGje2yCOHHcR7TgPGtv0HaBYUKu-kS9gJqUiRY3Du-EapyZw00vzUUVDhwJPYciDX7rNCpkshFQSR_hAjohz__9E8PK8tdrrCK3cgGGc92jo0hPj8Jy8xfdhOs8Q8j0dKYjGykvswJkD/s640/mpel1.png" width="640px" /></a></div>This morning, Feb 1, 2012, Melco Crown ("MPEL") must continue it's upward rally otherwise, my investment will be futile.<br />
<br />
There are 2 strong and valid reasons that I believe MPEL will up at least 3% today. <br />
1st Reason: <strong>Mpel yesterday closing candlestick is showing a bullish harami pattern.</strong> <br />
2nd Reason: <strong>This morning at 3.41 am, Bloomberg News just reported that Macau Revenue For January 2012 rises 35%. (The details of the news are per the below post)</strong><br />
<br />
Yesterday, I am glad that Mpel perform as per my expectation. If yesterday, Mpel continues to go down, then I will be in deep trouble. The past 2 days tumbled of more than 6% is to shake off the weak investor and for the heavy speculators to cover the long position. <br />
I believe a new really and new uptrend will happen this morning. For a new investor, he or she would have sold his position when Mpel tumbled more than 6%, however, as for me, instead of selling my stock in Mpel, I buy another 200 stock of Mpel at the price of $11.13. I have used my emtire January salary to buy the 200 stock and now I am left with nothing to spend for February while waiting for my new salary. Is it worth the risk and the trouble. Yes! It is worth everything as I believe Mpel will continues to outperform in the market. For the near short term, it will match the price of MGM at $13.00 as I don't believe MGM should worth more than Mpel.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiOyT-CogqJLwYo0eUGojoHlohK1QvCZ42gwKfgERtdSVBrqqL2CvCljHIt5xaEoFPeIFiCDA8kFHLpEAIe6-6oYRu-JSUhQcIp5D2F5066niF6w6v2ZMylK5egbu-_GyL7BGy6IEkzssV2/s1600/bullish+harami.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiOyT-CogqJLwYo0eUGojoHlohK1QvCZ42gwKfgERtdSVBrqqL2CvCljHIt5xaEoFPeIFiCDA8kFHLpEAIe6-6oYRu-JSUhQcIp5D2F5066niF6w6v2ZMylK5egbu-_GyL7BGy6IEkzssV2/s1600/bullish+harami.png" /></a></div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVC6bXPs1Dh-BRzlU0pQs4BWWHCuU4-L_pkti_ta0H7Z6qFFBwi3ASM_bTpNPw7gom0fxmnbA5TTDbdAvX-nquXUU1WOZumuwaqTcCYTldylbW8Wd6AJ2PZZjypwk1fFiQVv6EgeK-NyO3/s1600/bullish+harami+2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVC6bXPs1Dh-BRzlU0pQs4BWWHCuU4-L_pkti_ta0H7Z6qFFBwi3ASM_bTpNPw7gom0fxmnbA5TTDbdAvX-nquXUU1WOZumuwaqTcCYTldylbW8Wd6AJ2PZZjypwk1fFiQVv6EgeK-NyO3/s1600/bullish+harami+2.jpg" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"> (Bullish Harami Explanation from Investopedia Website)</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhwB93ZS8ueH9K6Lrpc7gk48qvrLX8Ey0ju9Gl2Ej2sEKxe_-IzB4G5-2PQtsxyULrR0nY1hkwAkYsnkJFdNys3OBqw3FJoG5ZEBhD5jac_rwRceFxyJr5oXfh3JPGA-vRae4NTTKs9zESH/s1600/mpel2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="202px" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhwB93ZS8ueH9K6Lrpc7gk48qvrLX8Ey0ju9Gl2Ej2sEKxe_-IzB4G5-2PQtsxyULrR0nY1hkwAkYsnkJFdNys3OBqw3FJoG5ZEBhD5jac_rwRceFxyJr5oXfh3JPGA-vRae4NTTKs9zESH/s640/mpel2.jpg" width="640px" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">I have added another 200 stock yesterday, my total stock for Mpel currently stand at 6000.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
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</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Disclosure: Currently I have zero money in my Bank Account as I am using it all to purchase Mpel. I am thinking to use my credit card to help me go through my Feb expenses. I am currently heavily invested in Mpel stock of 6000 and I am expecting Mpel to rally to $15 in the near future and to $20 for a 90% gain by the end of this year. However, in between now and end of this year, I may sell and buy Mpel as I am an experience swing trader. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
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</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><cite><strong>Macau January Casino Revenue Rises 35% on New Year Gains</strong></cite></div><div class="partner"><span class="date" id="pubDate">February 01, 2012, 3:21 AM EST</span></div><div class="partner"><br />
</div><div class="partner"><cite>By Vinicy Chan</cite> </div>Feb. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Casino revenue in Macau, the world’s largest gambling hub, rose 35 percent in January, beating analyst estimates as Chinese tourists spent more during the Lunar New Year holiday.<br />
<div class="indent">Revenue at casinos in Macau, the only place in China where they are legal, jumped 35 percent to 25 billion patacas ($3.13 billion) in January, according to data from Macau’s Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau. That was higher than the median estimate of 24 billion patacas from seven analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News.</div><div class="indent">Chinese gamblers have fueled growth in the former Portuguese colony, where gambling sales have more than tripled in the past four years. Las Vegas Sands Corp., the world’s biggest casino company by market value, generated 60 percent of its revenue in Macau in 2010 after opening its first location in the city in 2004.</div><div class="indent">Visitors to locations belonging to Sands China Ltd., Asia’s biggest casino operator by market value, rose by 5 percent to 6 percent to more than 1 million during the Lunar New Year holiday from Jan. 23 to Jan. 29, the company said on Jan. 30.</div><div class="indent">Sands China, the Hong Kong-listed unit of billionaire Sheldon Adelson’s Las Vegas-based company, climbed 1.3 percent to HK$26.60 in Hong Kong trading at 3:26 p.m. local time. SJM Holdings Ltd., Asia’s biggest casino company founded by billionaire Stanley Ho, gained 1.9 percent to HK$14.14.</div><div class="indent">MGM China Holdings Ltd. fell 0.2 percent, Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd. jumped 2.5 percent, Wynn Macau Ltd. gained 1.9 percent and Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd. moved 0.2 percent higher. The benchmark Hang Seng Index dipped 0.5 percent.</div>--Editors: Anjali Cordeiro, Stephanie WongThe Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-37779073567269631492012-01-30T08:56:00.000-08:002012-01-30T22:45:52.151-08:00Melco Crown Entertainment, Should I Cut My Losses Now?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQpKI2hi-xw9WjQhypcpyKT_F7gxNL-kU7nictSFbbd97_944G8XRCPaNCnbMvwi3B9fH66PJ2rLbF6O2NXUJunKSzYaoJZtuoMxJ4wuWk-Vvf-jLNm2uCZ8YWbD9NfYmerZcEwlahJVwB/s1600/mpel+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQpKI2hi-xw9WjQhypcpyKT_F7gxNL-kU7nictSFbbd97_944G8XRCPaNCnbMvwi3B9fH66PJ2rLbF6O2NXUJunKSzYaoJZtuoMxJ4wuWk-Vvf-jLNm2uCZ8YWbD9NfYmerZcEwlahJVwB/s640/mpel+3.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Update after market close:</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Terrible day, Mpel down a whopping 7.42% at $10.85. However, I still believe that over the long run Mpel will test it long term resistance at $16 to form a double bottom.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Based on the after market analysis of Mpel, I believe that Mpel will have another 1 day of consolidation before it will start moving up again. The immediate support level which is at the mid of Bollinger Band now is very important to determine the future price of this stock. If this support fail, then Mpel might be going down even more to the previously resistance turn support at the $10.30 level. I no longer have any capital in hand, if I have, I definetely show hand to scoop as many stock as possible which it is still attractively price. i believe that the whopping crushing of Mpel yesterday is to shake off the weak player or the contra player our of this stock before it continues its run up ahead. This is a very crucial time at this moment because the decision that I will make in the next couples of day will resulted in me earning few thousands more or few thousands less. At this point in time, I really can't afford to lose and I did not have the intention to give in and cut loss for this trade. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Disclosure: I have not sold Mpel on today's tumbling, I am still holding on tightly to this stock. As of now, i can only rely on O Mighty God to have mercy on me. May god have mercy on me! God bless!</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">================================================================</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjg7mB4Scn1Ww92rHu-TjUDyLDguWBA8Ur8DfX68u1e-FMETRoodxg-sc0EOq-S5BStt0pgiCGIhZZpdvLBmKO4k5Rpcovf6rnkGhe2XI775wlzg_om0PHXd3vorH90iffzUkYa0voyghTG/s1600/mpel0.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjg7mB4Scn1Ww92rHu-TjUDyLDguWBA8Ur8DfX68u1e-FMETRoodxg-sc0EOq-S5BStt0pgiCGIhZZpdvLBmKO4k5Rpcovf6rnkGhe2XI775wlzg_om0PHXd3vorH90iffzUkYa0voyghTG/s1600/mpel0.jpg" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">It is a very terrible day for me!</div><br />
It is unbelievable, at first I was up by 4%-6% now I am down by 3-4%, all this action happened in just a matter of 2 days infact. It is indeed a wild ride and not for the faint hearted. As I have mentioned in my previous post, I cannot afford to lose money now as I have personal commitment to fulfill into. This is a really bad day for me. I enter Mpel at the price of $11.25 and now the price is $10.81 with roughly a 3% lost. Now the biggest question is should I cut my losses now or should I wait for the rebound? If I were to wait for the rebound, I might be getting myself in deep water as Mpel might continues it's ride down. If I cut my losses now, I will lose around $3,000. At this point in time, I can't afford to lose money.<br />
<br />
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjLYFCITPNwQgGfJmPOzSQG0hjngwGcCWy_zs5srB5UfKxQKBU_L9Zx1oJfhbeQH-7seGEOMBRc-SlfeT9DJM61p2LfGNbkNluJ2xc9B4Z2RsyFx7DqI2HuHRZzlEGC94oe8FE7tgPsbubJ/s1600/mpel1.jpg"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjLYFCITPNwQgGfJmPOzSQG0hjngwGcCWy_zs5srB5UfKxQKBU_L9Zx1oJfhbeQH-7seGEOMBRc-SlfeT9DJM61p2LfGNbkNluJ2xc9B4Z2RsyFx7DqI2HuHRZzlEGC94oe8FE7tgPsbubJ/s640/mpel1.jpg" /></a><br />
<br />
But thankfully to my many years of experience in trading this wild market has make me into a calmer and wiser person. <br />
Based on the technical analysis, the uptrend is still intact. I believe today big down is the work of the stock operators to scare away the speculators who are long in this stock. The speculators will take this opportunity to cover their long position before the next uptrent to continue. Afterall, this stock has been moving from the low of $8.80 to the current level of %11.80 (an increase of 34%) before today correction bring it down to the $10.70 level (huge drop of 8.5%).<br />
<br />
I did not expect a big sudden drop in a day as I do not have any chance at all to sell since the Mpel started trading this morning. If I choose to cut loss now, then it is definetely a loss for me. However, I am a swing trader and I believe that the current swing for Mpel is still up.<br />
<br />
It is indeed a terrible day for me, at this point in time, I do not have any choice but continue to ride this stock as I believe that the current rally for MPEL is not over yet.The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-49560049486915859472012-01-29T03:33:00.000-08:002012-01-29T03:33:13.112-08:00Atmel Corporation! Help me!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">I have recently received an email from an investor and also a frequent visitor to my humble blog. His name is Danny, he has invested in Atmel and is currently down by $2000. That is a lot of money to my and worth about few good Invicta' Watches at Amazon. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Anyway, as an author and founder of my humble blog, The Market Oracle, my aim is to help as many people as I can with my knowledge, skill and experience that I have gained after more than 13 years trading in the market.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">His question is should he hold this stock through 2012. First of all, I did not know what is his entry price, but I figure it out, it should be at $11.20 level based on the current price of around $9.6 (based on 15% loses), for him to lost around $2,000.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Well, I promise you Danny, I will try my very best to honestly tell you what you should do now. As usual, I will first analyze the Long Term Chart follow by the Short Term Chart. I will then look at the fundamental side by analyzing the quarterly earning growth. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjyo6inbOiOEmunIO9NNdSpBKlmI9hlI8MaTIys4nOHNdizifbEQoqUmdbfzp4DAN4hDhCbUhu2UnogKou7H2APHVlXHzfQ3Hwmhb5lIFTvPh9CWG9JCI91JaVr6bzetQg06Nu5tYLqc6BP/s1600/atml0.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="242px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjyo6inbOiOEmunIO9NNdSpBKlmI9hlI8MaTIys4nOHNdizifbEQoqUmdbfzp4DAN4hDhCbUhu2UnogKou7H2APHVlXHzfQ3Hwmhb5lIFTvPh9CWG9JCI91JaVr6bzetQg06Nu5tYLqc6BP/s640/atml0.jpg" width="640px" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"> Email from Danny</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br />
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<div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTAkXDQy2ySdBZlq4XqytY6q-TXgQeNDWUvfvGhVZDdBnE6bE2axozPTv5tSQSSGefDA-a-xSQo6OtDysmUNLx0fN3Wm_sss-EhrdgPsOJcrFByqoKLO8wDCFl2yr-VbNGP9r8QY_ChHq3/s1600/atml2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="640px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTAkXDQy2ySdBZlq4XqytY6q-TXgQeNDWUvfvGhVZDdBnE6bE2axozPTv5tSQSSGefDA-a-xSQo6OtDysmUNLx0fN3Wm_sss-EhrdgPsOJcrFByqoKLO8wDCFl2yr-VbNGP9r8QY_ChHq3/s640/atml2.png" width="640px" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: left;">Based on the long term chart above, the strong support for Atmel is at the $8. The 1st resistance for Atmel is at the $12 level. Looking at the chart above, I believe that Atmel have a chance to test the first resistance at $12 based on the current market situation. The current US market is growing stronger day by day. Even though there are many negative news coming from Europe and also China, however, it does not stop DJIA from rallying day after day. I believe that the overall market is still strong and have lots of room to grow further.</div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCGry4bhbW30X-76bMkOEXN59vQA9pm7MJTtQ_D4NAvu0CzHE48Xdie4bB5MZ9UkMKuhMZe83ZxJnn_1zcVZWHdFyx8-BmBoScsBSQJtwaUusqBZFu0SPxOH2DWKEUBw2Acwb6L72q9kFg/s1600/atml1.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; cssfloat: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="640px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCGry4bhbW30X-76bMkOEXN59vQA9pm7MJTtQ_D4NAvu0CzHE48Xdie4bB5MZ9UkMKuhMZe83ZxJnn_1zcVZWHdFyx8-BmBoScsBSQJtwaUusqBZFu0SPxOH2DWKEUBw2Acwb6L72q9kFg/s640/atml1.png" width="640px" /></a>Based on the short term chart, currently Atmel is in an upward trend. I believe this upwad trend will last a little longer as most of the upward move did pause for a slight consolidation. If Atmel is moving up fast and strong without consolidation in between, then I am dead worried, cause I believe the faster this stock go up, the faster it will come down as well. If I am correct, I believe that next week, Atmel will head to the $11 at least. The current 2 important technical indicators, the MACD and Stochastic, even though do shown a little negative signal, I believe that it is not a crucial issue here, because the negative indicators are merely pointing towards a short term consolidation move for Atmel.</div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_hUdhKbR5Ls4A3hgvSwpEkkQ7xey3NmmuwC0uOIu-DbJyGq8NWvnC3yo2S69qvYpMNh_mvAHYcwUD9D9p-fmGy0sMs82c8z09PJrWhHg94nVEJjN7qmCtZXRq-xj5v-eDndXyaEElRaft/s1600/atml3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_hUdhKbR5Ls4A3hgvSwpEkkQ7xey3NmmuwC0uOIu-DbJyGq8NWvnC3yo2S69qvYpMNh_mvAHYcwUD9D9p-fmGy0sMs82c8z09PJrWhHg94nVEJjN7qmCtZXRq-xj5v-eDndXyaEElRaft/s1600/atml3.jpg" /></a></div>Based on the quarterly earning for Atmel, Atmel is showing stable growth ahead. As long as it didnt show losses, it should be a safe haven stock to invest in. Even though the future forecase quarterly earning for Atmel is flat, but I believe that the super touch screen technology that Atmel supplies to many smart phone and tablet company is right on track for the future growth and potential of the company.<br />
<br />
Conclusion:<br />
I believe that if the US market continues its upward move, I believe that many stocks will continue to surge further which includes Atmel. There a lot's of money which have yet to enter the market will do so in the coming month and bring the whole market to the pre crisis level.<br />
<br />
Therefore, my advise is to hold and Atmel and continue to ride this stock to the $16 level based on your entry price at around $11.20 for a 40% gained. It is definetely not a good time to surrender and sell this stock for a loss of $2,000. Continue to ride this stock and play based on range trading of between $8 and $12.<br />
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Good luck and god bless.<br />
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Disclosure: - I currently do not hold any stock in Atmel but may initiate an entry position if the Atmel did not perform as I have analyzed and if Atmel move to the important support of $8.00. If Atmel move downward and hit $8.00, it is definetely a big buy for me.The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-75962401871423453382012-01-28T23:26:00.000-08:002012-01-28T23:54:51.711-08:00Melco Crown Entertainment Take Profit or Let Profit Run?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsfpiNnvwVqFrNCLa5tYS2AX3QqnxDowx-_OhEqqhcnASbmh2TWIOK9fAxCpXjcBhHmNepkelbyBdPaYDXBumm_WiDBlIpbDa2fvST1yw_PgIyKE-4gU00wifMeyztyaNAiuhMBhKWSuq9/s1600/mpel+1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="187px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsfpiNnvwVqFrNCLa5tYS2AX3QqnxDowx-_OhEqqhcnASbmh2TWIOK9fAxCpXjcBhHmNepkelbyBdPaYDXBumm_WiDBlIpbDa2fvST1yw_PgIyKE-4gU00wifMeyztyaNAiuhMBhKWSuq9/s640/mpel+1.jpg" width="640px" /></a></div>I am currently having a dilemma and in a difficult situation where the decision that I make next will decide whether I will have another few thousand or ten over thousand. As of the closing price of $11.72 last friday, I am not up by 4.18% and making around $2,726. If I am not wise or careful in my next decision, I will not only lost my gain but I will lose my capital as well. Therefore, I now need to make a very important detail analysis on the next movement for Melco Crown Entertainment (MPEL). I must not be wrong on this one, as I need to make more capital gain for personal reason. <br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjE6x840OiL62T-G8FkUlgtVo1C5a5jYH0WtEk7dKCPhc6kzrZ42I6K2as8rDU8oksp_EJquY7So69JJW5WoGqUyuaVQiGeGPzzye5lbb8L9tpy8acvN6tMMk6zkq9XRb342mo7EGYSsUeq/s1600/mpel2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="640px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjE6x840OiL62T-G8FkUlgtVo1C5a5jYH0WtEk7dKCPhc6kzrZ42I6K2as8rDU8oksp_EJquY7So69JJW5WoGqUyuaVQiGeGPzzye5lbb8L9tpy8acvN6tMMk6zkq9XRb342mo7EGYSsUeq/s640/mpel2.png" width="640px" /></a></div>Based on the chart above, this stock might be heading towards the resistance of $16 or the support of $8.5. If somebody out there who can give me an accurate 100% answer, then it will solve my dilemma and my worry for this weekend. But I believe only god can give me an answer, not even Warren Buffet or Albert Einstein. I am particularly worry about the Stochastic signal which point to a very negative movement for MPEL. It is showing that both lines appear to meet at the top and moving downward for consolidation as it is currently overbought. Based on my experience, I would say that at least 60% of the time, stochastic proved to be a realiable signal to point the future movement of the stock.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgqM0PkUqrY1gvJqzhU6tA_MS5GRvM2T1Ev_B0bYA2tFSnufnRgfxWO3N8jouZnmOHC3vbAtLbFFhDd_8S6S5B33wD7S7mp0y7XIJ9baKr8UppNwnofMl3PfOR2PO97kB-95ORPypmGBrJj/s1600/mpel3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="640px" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgqM0PkUqrY1gvJqzhU6tA_MS5GRvM2T1Ev_B0bYA2tFSnufnRgfxWO3N8jouZnmOHC3vbAtLbFFhDd_8S6S5B33wD7S7mp0y7XIJ9baKr8UppNwnofMl3PfOR2PO97kB-95ORPypmGBrJj/s640/mpel3.png" width="640px" /></a></div>As for the close up candlestick analysis, it is showing an important consolidation pattern for MPEL. The next 2 or 3 candlesticks is very important as it will determine whether MPEL is actually in the consolidation and will move up afterward, or it will lead MPEL to the start of a correction downtrend which will bring the stock to the $8.50 support level.<br />
However, based on the MPEL current candlestick chart pattern which resemble the bullish mat hold, MPEL will be in the small correction mode for another 2 days, before it will convincingly lead another round of rally to push it above the $12 level.<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjIYevYiPLZ-uyCMMqpK4GAFjcPYsHczm0dhMu3DBvgUH-XfwaowCR6So5rBwHY8MHbRHOhS3Ujoi1KXDO1Blm3WntYW3bFGrxFHUIerY0QAUsBAlaPlVL3YcJ1EQDbHgXUA2i5HWr1ApXV/s1600/mpel+4.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjIYevYiPLZ-uyCMMqpK4GAFjcPYsHczm0dhMu3DBvgUH-XfwaowCR6So5rBwHY8MHbRHOhS3Ujoi1KXDO1Blm3WntYW3bFGrxFHUIerY0QAUsBAlaPlVL3YcJ1EQDbHgXUA2i5HWr1ApXV/s1600/mpel+4.gif" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Based on my knowledge and experience trading the NYSE and NASDAQ, I am very convinced that the current rally is not over yet. DJIA still have more room to grow. Over the long term, I believe that MPEL will continue its upward rise to test the resistance of $16 and will eventually surpass it and move to the new high. My prediction is not solely based on the technical analysis but fundamental as well. The casino business for MPEL in China continues to grow quarter over quarter and no one really knows how lond this growth may continue. As the whole China is a very big market and more people are getting richer and the chinese people really like to gamble and treat it as their favorite pass time. Until their is a concrete evidence pointing to a real slowdown in MPEL such as the decrease in the quarterly revenue, I believe that MPEL will continue its upward move to the next unseen level. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Disclosure: I am currently show hand in MPEL and have invested every single penny that I have in MPEL. I am also expecting at least a 10% profit for this stock in the coming future and no planning to cut my profit in the coming next 2 trades.</div>The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-71743109909503503392012-01-26T18:36:00.000-08:002012-01-26T18:36:18.747-08:00What Now for Cisco?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0PggRPZYX5uKx-jvy7Hg3jbYmmqDB85_hKCN4m2yj5MqTpM1CQE6esnElNNjkxLPq_bU6dBd79H9xtNuTHxu2EE-0Yg8A295MhgLyNTwr-B4_aXvxV4kxIBNL4FsuzdR69hcp37kv9Qep/s1600/cisco0.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0PggRPZYX5uKx-jvy7Hg3jbYmmqDB85_hKCN4m2yj5MqTpM1CQE6esnElNNjkxLPq_bU6dBd79H9xtNuTHxu2EE-0Yg8A295MhgLyNTwr-B4_aXvxV4kxIBNL4FsuzdR69hcp37kv9Qep/s1600/cisco0.jpg" /></a></div> I have traded Cisco stock for several times now. I have made some money and lost some on this stock. For those who are invested in this stock, I hope that my brief analysis in this post will be able to help you in your decision making on whether to buy more or take profit for this stock.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg9xvtz4lm0SqpPiQd-VfD6nccajsihwa_n6UCbQnFtRFZjhyphenhyphenRxs58LzH-54wCGodrGCTsutbuUvo-8sIIQysbdR6yIwNdCx1pEfhTaU8p4pA9YhUaPgJ1KaYDyCKjmFulRyigDK1vMhgop/s1600/cisco1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg9xvtz4lm0SqpPiQd-VfD6nccajsihwa_n6UCbQnFtRFZjhyphenhyphenRxs58LzH-54wCGodrGCTsutbuUvo-8sIIQysbdR6yIwNdCx1pEfhTaU8p4pA9YhUaPgJ1KaYDyCKjmFulRyigDK1vMhgop/s640/cisco1.png" width="640" /></a></div>Cisco has been moving upward aggresively since Aug 2011 at around $14 to the current level of $20. It is a whopping 40% gain. To me it is a huge gain and profit taking, long covering and consolidation for this stock look inevitable. <br />
Based on the long term chart, Cisco has broken the downward range trading and is now going into a smooth uptrend move. I believe this uptrend move might be a long term one, however, a meaningful consolidation for this stock is a must for this stock to continue its uptrend strongly. <br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiulxt5XuxcFHuXjUo0pYqJ7vdBewbCwMBzLrRretnTWCKVH8VWZn3OFNUc618yqt67ya57wycV2MUzEzc9yzleYgogCA4d_999q5DSCDH67hU56kkLHDP7SaZiyncNJWOlINn-uMm9hh-q/s1600/cisco2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiulxt5XuxcFHuXjUo0pYqJ7vdBewbCwMBzLrRretnTWCKVH8VWZn3OFNUc618yqt67ya57wycV2MUzEzc9yzleYgogCA4d_999q5DSCDH67hU56kkLHDP7SaZiyncNJWOlINn-uMm9hh-q/s640/cisco2.png" width="640" /></a></div>Based on the short term chart, it appears that Cisco is moving into a consolidation move with the short term target at $17.20. I believe the $17.20 is a strong support level for Cisco and one should plan an entry at this level if you are interested to go into this stock.<br />
My target for Cisco at $17.20 is well supported by 2 important technical indicators which is the MACD and Stochastic, both are currently showing an overbought position for Cisco and both indicators are showing the blue line is moving downward to consolidate. <br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgRkCLF84mH0q21HnfrvcvslQHyfmYfdD1a5P7AEMFvRGnzhbsRd-gPvosuhTIWEYw-IUMv_dUOmubF9c5vekdjawLMOaqkZQYzT12Hc4Ydh1DKdAtXBe6O7Np4vFm6O5xn-oZwD0uS9kK/s1600/cisco3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgRkCLF84mH0q21HnfrvcvslQHyfmYfdD1a5P7AEMFvRGnzhbsRd-gPvosuhTIWEYw-IUMv_dUOmubF9c5vekdjawLMOaqkZQYzT12Hc4Ydh1DKdAtXBe6O7Np4vFm6O5xn-oZwD0uS9kK/s1600/cisco3.png" /></a></div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijhQz8K2ikaLbamrDHDoU4twG1bja47Z35WtbFGm1eROveNJNRhyphenhyphenYzzQDEPdg15mKTMisAxlbAA9KP6myTZaV6_rm91o0nxuTRXVT2nPFw4JIzUARnBjs88FR09CdBzjuI2J0azexIfFgt/s1600/cisco4.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijhQz8K2ikaLbamrDHDoU4twG1bja47Z35WtbFGm1eROveNJNRhyphenhyphenYzzQDEPdg15mKTMisAxlbAA9KP6myTZaV6_rm91o0nxuTRXVT2nPFw4JIzUARnBjs88FR09CdBzjuI2J0azexIfFgt/s1600/cisco4.png" /></a></div>Based on the earning analysis for Cisco, it looks great in both quarterly and yearly growth. With the EPS of $1.77 for 2012, Csco is currently trading at slight above the PE ratio of 10. It is a very good PE ratio for a stable and a slow but strong revenue growth company.<br />
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Even though the earning growth for Cisco is a slow one, but it is a good fundamental company to invest in for a long run especially with the hugh cash in hand.<br />
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<strong>Disclosure:</strong><br />
I have no positions in Cisco and do not intend to trade Cisco in the coming future as I am currently show hand in Melco Crown (MPEL).The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-87570536132480778992012-01-25T18:24:00.000-08:002012-01-25T18:24:48.745-08:00Melco Crown Entertainment (MPEL) Rally to Continue!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEghsoCkBsp8jJdV3wmSAWABxOq9f6cFdXtoNV_1VDq4C-nTS4F22kivdn4jdcP4OuU379TqPQ3FgYUibx1712VhXYXQ9c8nmIgZgFzzYlQV1hozFDyghz__84_KIV2yS7PUU1WUZ564KpsC/s1600/Mpel+0.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEghsoCkBsp8jJdV3wmSAWABxOq9f6cFdXtoNV_1VDq4C-nTS4F22kivdn4jdcP4OuU379TqPQ3FgYUibx1712VhXYXQ9c8nmIgZgFzzYlQV1hozFDyghz__84_KIV2yS7PUU1WUZ564KpsC/s640/Mpel+0.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">Happy Chinese New Year! Greeting from the The Market Oracle!</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrURLhEETb980YNW-NjlUeTi2DkIdUBuhYCgJo-Z753iKufkQObBOmp56JTp3CxRtlnLXeh173FaINpVj0Ej1oSFJrdE24fBXgC0pigGSXcCq7C0wXfkEmt7FDsaqLoDLXVUszyO_vQ0nz/s1600/Mpel+01.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrURLhEETb980YNW-NjlUeTi2DkIdUBuhYCgJo-Z753iKufkQObBOmp56JTp3CxRtlnLXeh173FaINpVj0Ej1oSFJrdE24fBXgC0pigGSXcCq7C0wXfkEmt7FDsaqLoDLXVUszyO_vQ0nz/s1600/Mpel+01.jpg" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"> The Majestic Development from Melco Crown in Cotai</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuVHs8u3WNMC8EKFKAkZvZbF6jEDrfMm7rxHt2t0_lXDhFXXSaMTGTDraQCsgha8XNidRrKbUOthqBRGZ_RWMg2C-auJP2SePxV35KWzpqw4l6XdlLO1NSpIS6um6fBt3k32A4u-iMeQhb/s1600/Mpel+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuVHs8u3WNMC8EKFKAkZvZbF6jEDrfMm7rxHt2t0_lXDhFXXSaMTGTDraQCsgha8XNidRrKbUOthqBRGZ_RWMg2C-auJP2SePxV35KWzpqw4l6XdlLO1NSpIS6um6fBt3k32A4u-iMeQhb/s640/Mpel+2.png" width="640" /></a></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: left;">After my first encounter with MPEL last year, I have recently reenter MPEL. The reasons I am making the decision to reenter MPEL is overall the world markets especially for the US Market are improving, the never ending revenue growth in Macau, increasing Earning Per Share (EPS) and the tecnical and fundamental analysis as per this post. Based on long term chart above, MPEL has recently broken the long term down trend line. The MACD indicator is currently pointing a further upward move for MPEL and it is currently not oversold yet. The stochastic on the other hand is showing a slightly overbought position and a negative downtrend for this stock.</div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgb-qx7sfzyj68aPhdg4XffnPJiTb3dRrURPVsTGZZPyRU_j2ZCtyTe5FUJBKRlVLnAlc0f7C5wuPjpv9i3djhUyDbrd2w2Bwj9PRm6gIhy9QJJgtojDh4idZjMtPeEg93Eqb2320W1gWLG/s1600/Mpel+6.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgb-qx7sfzyj68aPhdg4XffnPJiTb3dRrURPVsTGZZPyRU_j2ZCtyTe5FUJBKRlVLnAlc0f7C5wuPjpv9i3djhUyDbrd2w2Bwj9PRm6gIhy9QJJgtojDh4idZjMtPeEg93Eqb2320W1gWLG/s1600/Mpel+6.gif" /></a></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;">MPEL current formation is similar to the Descending Triangle Formation as the above. Even though, the chances is high for MPEL to follow the rules of Descending Triangle Formation and head lower after the consolidation, I am betting it will go the opposite way instead.</div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br />
</div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhD3lwpy4-fIB98KGM8z7anxbS3A_dZ47Gz7ceye-Pits0E2oXesqktTt9SMV1oyKfADb7kHJCqdYJNL9xa0gpL8_p3r47VqtmkYyHJEUH4R7rf1LXIxj71gDdzsB3r_apLOnbheB9Crv37/s1600/Mpel+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhD3lwpy4-fIB98KGM8z7anxbS3A_dZ47Gz7ceye-Pits0E2oXesqktTt9SMV1oyKfADb7kHJCqdYJNL9xa0gpL8_p3r47VqtmkYyHJEUH4R7rf1LXIxj71gDdzsB3r_apLOnbheB9Crv37/s640/Mpel+1.png" width="640" /></a></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;">Based on the short term chart analysis, I am predicting that Mpel will retest the previous high of $16 and possibly to move higher after that. As of current, most of the technical indicators is pointing to an upward move for this stock, except for stochastic which shows an overbought position for this stock. One thing that I am concerned is the low volume in the rise up which means that the upward move is not strong. For the rally to be strong, we need a strong volume to justify it. </div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhGTYLwzcymVp9KR1avAVoUBfRyIAHa259r2z6chnd0xHVN6rjcXOVZLUx0CyE2OB32AbbqexK2r05wIY2VuKjG5kty5oSxUpM5x8I8crRtrLtsJKGFY-vM702_s9fwpCaUTl6PGDaBzSX1/s1600/Mpel+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="220" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhGTYLwzcymVp9KR1avAVoUBfRyIAHa259r2z6chnd0xHVN6rjcXOVZLUx0CyE2OB32AbbqexK2r05wIY2VuKjG5kty5oSxUpM5x8I8crRtrLtsJKGFY-vM702_s9fwpCaUTl6PGDaBzSX1/s640/Mpel+3.png" width="640" /></a></div>Quarterly data shown a strong improvement quarter over quarter. I am expecting the next quarter revenue will be even higher especially the Lunar New Year will bring all the gambler to speculate crazily.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-FAWqdA3WlU16JSrJE255ql_zxYJIe7JbmpMB19hoc_T01z1lcKOF1v4ZTpJ-NHe0H8RWLXLieii5TSAi_t2cXy_9f4Kd3PWxJUUN16DGTqYhVC7VnyS9QVb0zA_2M4NsDDL9ZIVeLZQa/s1600/Mpel+5.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-FAWqdA3WlU16JSrJE255ql_zxYJIe7JbmpMB19hoc_T01z1lcKOF1v4ZTpJ-NHe0H8RWLXLieii5TSAi_t2cXy_9f4Kd3PWxJUUN16DGTqYhVC7VnyS9QVb0zA_2M4NsDDL9ZIVeLZQa/s1600/Mpel+5.png" /></a></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br />
</div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;">Disclosure: I am currently all in at $11.25 with a total stocks of 5,800 and I am expecting a profit of 20%-30% at least for this trade.</div>The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-30850684082394919862012-01-21T20:50:00.000-08:002012-01-21T20:50:49.501-08:00Buy Supervalu Inc (SVU) for a 20% Profit - January 21,2012<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUC8pusHROAbMhN7AN1_XMVdEYevsu3gTcD6jLYUg50pHTcw_jhEBkUm06pTTFpBrH9RyxWIPSwdAbz9XHBP9KEbJ8TI-Cy4spl2Zj-qCCXC68DNT7TacjaBnDPcVES4WSKY-tAeT_NUIS/s1600/svu0.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="360" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUC8pusHROAbMhN7AN1_XMVdEYevsu3gTcD6jLYUg50pHTcw_jhEBkUm06pTTFpBrH9RyxWIPSwdAbz9XHBP9KEbJ8TI-Cy4spl2Zj-qCCXC68DNT7TacjaBnDPcVES4WSKY-tAeT_NUIS/s640/svu0.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">Above Picture has been modified from the Original Picture to make it look more interesting in my Blog and to better suit the title for this post.</div><br />
Today I am recommending a buy on Supervalu Inc (SVU) for a 20% profit. Even though I am recommending a buy on SVU, but I didn't recommend to buy now. As I believe SVU will tumble a little more before we should plan our entry.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjSd3xljQNcHH2QAstecLfeDGHKmUo_rIsN5AJbsgzVALvNQCgVdV6Zm30uMsqeXLIyjaLyxFot1TQc2O8sOMCRpfFQm18FlBPeIgUkoVxCnW3HC3VlsErLVWBUAQoqy1HABrJq5HnE8bPB/s1600/svu1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjSd3xljQNcHH2QAstecLfeDGHKmUo_rIsN5AJbsgzVALvNQCgVdV6Zm30uMsqeXLIyjaLyxFot1TQc2O8sOMCRpfFQm18FlBPeIgUkoVxCnW3HC3VlsErLVWBUAQoqy1HABrJq5HnE8bPB/s640/svu1.png" width="640" /></a></div>Based on the long term chart above, even though some might argue that SVU is a dying stock with falling revenue from year to year, however, the chances of making good money on this stock is also available. As you can see on the above long term chart for SVU, I have sketches on the percentage profit opportunity for every downturn movement on this stock. If you plan your entry correctly and wisely after every downward move, you will be able to make a percentage profit gain ranging from 15% to 50%.<br />
Therefore timing the perfect entry is very important in order to make good money for this stock.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5CWyAcQoXONDBND73q9PHBu7eiZZe5uSIeDHDXxpnfpraCGZ9-Fhf6-kJ87tzh5yTbmzy-WBg_YEYP_XiPOkEAzwcpV7i1Ofd2DhUdji6yIHDep7N22_6i05mgRkk4t49yWNFn8ciPjdc/s1600/svu2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5CWyAcQoXONDBND73q9PHBu7eiZZe5uSIeDHDXxpnfpraCGZ9-Fhf6-kJ87tzh5yTbmzy-WBg_YEYP_XiPOkEAzwcpV7i1Ofd2DhUdji6yIHDep7N22_6i05mgRkk4t49yWNFn8ciPjdc/s640/svu2.png" width="640" /></a></div>Based on the short term chart for Supervalu, the 2 important technical indicators are showing bearish signal and more downward move for Supervalu. Supervalu has recently experiencing a sharp downward move from $8.4 level to the current level of $6.9 which is around 20% drop. However, based on the recent candlestick move (bearish engulfing pattern), it shows that SVU is still very bearish and may be heading to test the all time low at $6.3. Based on the analysis for the short term chart, the perfect entry will be the long time support at $6.3 level.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8x1C3B521-F5etUmywklLkye0ogvDTts13RxC3O15NHwyYLkX7XsYC5uGjUWKphDNED9-oXi8L_51h-2UhxJYuKIQ9MSibA9taUUZT7_uJeiqQ-eLVKJsahaUwVFTaqoSL_e3nUeSe9M7/s1600/svu3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8x1C3B521-F5etUmywklLkye0ogvDTts13RxC3O15NHwyYLkX7XsYC5uGjUWKphDNED9-oXi8L_51h-2UhxJYuKIQ9MSibA9taUUZT7_uJeiqQ-eLVKJsahaUwVFTaqoSL_e3nUeSe9M7/s1600/svu3.jpg" /></a></div>Based on the quarterly earning, SVU does show a reduction in earning from the previous years quarter compare to the recent quarters. However, signs are pointing that SVU earning is currently stabilizing and chances of improving is higher.<br />
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The recent sudden furious dropped in SVU stock price is mainly due to the goodwill and intangible asset impairment charges which resulted on expected loss of $2.58 to $2.48. Well, my opinion is this goodwill and intangible asset impairment charges is not a big deal for me as SVU is still profitable and also maintaining a good healthy dividend payout.<br />
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Disclosure: I did not hold any stock in SVU but may plan my entry in the next couple of days when the price is right.The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-51725452467978096702012-01-20T18:43:00.000-08:002012-01-20T18:43:35.210-08:00Sold MGM for a Profit of $ 10,819<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh57_IwaPJhLrO2z2xDIeewr-LFVonFPay2FIkfeakcQOe1IgPNpmqV4el3sbYKermxODzn91jfe6qoQeqahU1GkmdNe5ev6JJZNhHWXDTgB5dxZsq7ggoJ_n8nnkZVdV1kXGYHuBjym_UH/s1600/mgm0.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" nfa="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh57_IwaPJhLrO2z2xDIeewr-LFVonFPay2FIkfeakcQOe1IgPNpmqV4el3sbYKermxODzn91jfe6qoQeqahU1GkmdNe5ev6JJZNhHWXDTgB5dxZsq7ggoJ_n8nnkZVdV1kXGYHuBjym_UH/s1600/mgm0.jpg" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"> Lets Celebrate together for My Recent Wnning of $10,819 or 20% gained</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgHUCim4j0bydCuPX3b57yxkH_EQrBUdoiqHqB_u9lqMX9jrXlYuKTZ0wPWHk962AtR_i6Z8fj84FBYcDtdaT0DIlgMe57C4gBBdLBFJCiybf75zQNxt3br-UvxtSQbHAa8VJrnr9HzonAR/s1600/mgm1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="225px" nfa="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgHUCim4j0bydCuPX3b57yxkH_EQrBUdoiqHqB_u9lqMX9jrXlYuKTZ0wPWHk962AtR_i6Z8fj84FBYcDtdaT0DIlgMe57C4gBBdLBFJCiybf75zQNxt3br-UvxtSQbHAa8VJrnr9HzonAR/s640/mgm1.jpg" width="640px" /></a></div>My Recent Winning of MGM bought at an average price of $10.67 and sold at an average price of $12.80 during the recent new high. My realized gain to be be exact amounted to $10,819 for a trading period of not more than 2 months.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgga4vqAH9wjIjrgX_1ywkt1Soq-CByHpbXy-1diXNnqBAGDj6ATB5rWMfh1duxxY6p43dKgCeLwja3kNi0nIGNbLC7GUKVi3W_MR0I3t12PhaVvj9nxEGN0Dc-UyZZK6anVwJJt_Zti2NR/s1600/mgm2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" nfa="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgga4vqAH9wjIjrgX_1ywkt1Soq-CByHpbXy-1diXNnqBAGDj6ATB5rWMfh1duxxY6p43dKgCeLwja3kNi0nIGNbLC7GUKVi3W_MR0I3t12PhaVvj9nxEGN0Dc-UyZZK6anVwJJt_Zti2NR/s640/mgm2.png" width="640px" /></a></div>The reason why I am selling the MGM is I believe that MGM is overbought and it is overdue for a correction. From a low of $9, MGM has been climbing steadily all the way up to the current level at $12.80. It is a whooping gain of more than 40% if you would have bought at the $9 level.<br />
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Moreover, the stochastic indicator, an important indicator, already shown that MGM stock is overbought and getting bearish. Eventhought the MACD indicator is still showing positive sign, however, based on my many years of experience, I believe that it is just a matter of time before the blue line will cross over the red line (as per my own drawing above) and push MGM into the bearish zone for a technical correction.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4XfuZAzJATdq2G7gDJy43jJDsLgYJXDGh9FQCJAPMDP4audSGctJnAj_qtVU_OfOwEQwjC5zs5W8VwXNrECwyyNeOOGNy5ABwW7N8BJaP96F0T64h45Y-U1zvsyaWdyPD9PafTW3IIAsW/s1600/mgm3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640px" nfa="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4XfuZAzJATdq2G7gDJy43jJDsLgYJXDGh9FQCJAPMDP4audSGctJnAj_qtVU_OfOwEQwjC5zs5W8VwXNrECwyyNeOOGNy5ABwW7N8BJaP96F0T64h45Y-U1zvsyaWdyPD9PafTW3IIAsW/s640/mgm3.png" width="640px" /></a></div>MGM is currently going through a strong and steady uptrend, however, after a run up of more than 40% from the recent low, technical correction is inevitable. This stock is due for a correction and should be retraced to the $10.90 at least before any convincingly uptrend to proceed futher. Eventhough, there is chances I might be wrong for selling too early, but it is not worth taking this risk as I am currently not in a risk tolerance position due to my personal reason. <br />
It should also happened because it is time for the speculators to cover back their long position in this stock and to restart afresh again for the next upward move.<br />
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Well, when it happened, I will be there to watch it like an eagle hawk eye and to strike on MGM again when the price is right. Another 2 stocks that I am currently looking at after a huge sell down is Electronic Art and Supervalu Inc.The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-1425050822968135742012-01-19T18:57:00.000-08:002012-01-19T18:57:47.118-08:00Electronic Art Will Double in the Near Future<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsUm_At-12imLmR7L34LEpJmNjHj4HeNWPrUQpKwC3Y9EVBEL29bLYtx03YVcTSxRlvd0G8mg3i0FFoBwAV_qAX-huQMRHJRVet6iUmukTP_Z_GaAxBa6FrjCCA_IkLSQ9bjHjXiaATXla/s1600/ea4.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="480" nfa="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjsUm_At-12imLmR7L34LEpJmNjHj4HeNWPrUQpKwC3Y9EVBEL29bLYtx03YVcTSxRlvd0G8mg3i0FFoBwAV_qAX-huQMRHJRVet6iUmukTP_Z_GaAxBa6FrjCCA_IkLSQ9bjHjXiaATXla/s640/ea4.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The Above Title is an attention grabber. The real content and analysis from me for EA is as per below:</span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Electronic Art (EA) is a company that does no need any introduction for the gamers out there. Chances are your favorite games that you play on your Playstation and X Box consoles are produced by Electronic Art. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">As for myself I am hook into EA Sports Fifa Soccer. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">I have recently come across an article from Localized USA. It announces on the EA target price by various famous Investment Analysts. The summary of the analysts target price for EA are as per below:</span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Brean Murray<span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>Buy<span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>$22.00<span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>Jan 19, 2012</span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Deutsche Bank<span style="mso-tab-count: 2;"> </span>Sell<span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>$14.00<span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>Jan 13, 2012</span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Sterne Agee<span style="mso-tab-count: 2;"> </span>Buy<span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>$27.00<span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>Dec 27, 2012</span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Piper Jaffray<span style="mso-tab-count: 2;"> </span>Overweight<span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>$31.00<span style="mso-tab-count: 1;"> </span>Dec 27, 2012</span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The target price ranges from a whopping high of $ 31.00 to a crazily low of $ 14.00. All the stock analysts above is from a high income earner, with a good background coming from big investment company in the US. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">As for me, I am going to set my target price as well for EA. However, I am just a nobody blogger from a not famous country working with a local unknown company. Let’s see whether my target price for EA will be better than those 4 investment analysts up there.</span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhh36VOmetV3nMmpPm3rkYzBp12bYmX6-AOv5Sj7Yjq5vkv7lKx1TOnDKDXOM-mOUYpBnzp-OrFdYmVaLyKJQ4FY5wE2VVmHVsvIakJE_un8DGBR8srxpXxmoMIWtM-Ty4wAIvzTn_joGtQ/s1600/ea1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" nfa="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhh36VOmetV3nMmpPm3rkYzBp12bYmX6-AOv5Sj7Yjq5vkv7lKx1TOnDKDXOM-mOUYpBnzp-OrFdYmVaLyKJQ4FY5wE2VVmHVsvIakJE_un8DGBR8srxpXxmoMIWtM-Ty4wAIvzTn_joGtQ/s640/ea1.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">Based on the long term chart, EA is a perfect stock for Swing Trader out there. The price for EA frequented the support of $14 to the $23 range for quite a number of time. If you bought at $14 and ride all the way up to $23, you would have make around 64% gain. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">The current important technical indicators such as MACD and Stochastic coupled with Bollinger Band are pointing to a further for EA. EA is also showing a double top pattern which is extremely bearish. To complete the double top EA will need to drop all the way to the important support of $15. Therefore, as for the long term chart analysis, I am giving a target price of EA at $15 for the near future.</span></div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi7uIM7KFhWcdMozNDY_59ub4hsNli0htxxsiICp-GB2BKMvU2qgEtAVDAg9AyIfODVOpPeLrRELY2JyvlOt38LB-ykIDUu4W2h0MKY6xx7rwhHfqTm_7ZB8pZI7QduFwXIySRUAYEdsUOi/s1600/ea2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" nfa="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi7uIM7KFhWcdMozNDY_59ub4hsNli0htxxsiICp-GB2BKMvU2qgEtAVDAg9AyIfODVOpPeLrRELY2JyvlOt38LB-ykIDUu4W2h0MKY6xx7rwhHfqTm_7ZB8pZI7QduFwXIySRUAYEdsUOi/s640/ea2.png" width="640" /></a></div><br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">As for the short term chart, I am also giving a target price of $15 as EA will need to close back the window ($15-$17) that it has left open since <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Feb 2011. EA also currently experiencing a strong downward move as every downward move are coupled with strong volume. It means that sellers remain very strong at the moment. Therefore, I am strongly expecting EA to visit the $15 level in the very near future.</span></div><br />
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<div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJG_AAONFFrv4uawdMmY1qipEIDsuo6c_mjFPQRegSkxex4-5gzgyyc7rgSNkd348blfiXU055KzvKv9MXJBbAgac3PBYmFyWf30WsEEjzLIvizMtAGc5UAr-7JBe2I5TLjXbuJHYSXmfC/s1600/ea3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" nfa="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJG_AAONFFrv4uawdMmY1qipEIDsuo6c_mjFPQRegSkxex4-5gzgyyc7rgSNkd348blfiXU055KzvKv9MXJBbAgac3PBYmFyWf30WsEEjzLIvizMtAGc5UAr-7JBe2I5TLjXbuJHYSXmfC/s1600/ea3.png" /></a></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"> <span style="font-family: Calibri;">As for the fundamental analysis on the earning of EA, based on the quarterly earning, EA is experiencing a phenomena growth in earning compare with the previous year. It the projected quarterly earning estimates are accurate as per the above, EA is definitely a safe haven stock to invest if the price is right.</span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><br />
</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;"><strong><u>Conclusion:</u></strong></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Calibri;">I will invest in EA if the price is right; the right price for me based on my technical and fundamental analysis is at $15 level. I am very convinced that EA will eventually hit the $15 level for the next couple of weeks if not month. </span></div><br />
<div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"></div>The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-74692432417733475322012-01-14T09:16:00.000-08:002012-01-14T09:16:30.897-08:00Dryships - A Ship that Almost Drown Me!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj22udJLntFd1Od3soxPO4me64eyNE2HjeQSQF28TlNsfu7hnFpJpMJpin_d7r0kXK0i3CSHteLu7YBFPKKJGHMttvHQa2lm8Mg0qi_cdhy2D_qNPsFBiaHn2Yr3RBL6JN3JEBZ30oqGjSZ/s1600/dry0.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" kba="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj22udJLntFd1Od3soxPO4me64eyNE2HjeQSQF28TlNsfu7hnFpJpMJpin_d7r0kXK0i3CSHteLu7YBFPKKJGHMttvHQa2lm8Mg0qi_cdhy2D_qNPsFBiaHn2Yr3RBL6JN3JEBZ30oqGjSZ/s1600/dry0.jpg" /></a></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; text-align: center;"> George Economou - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of Dryships</div><br />
Some have labeled him as a crook, a mastermind that manage to convince the American Fund Management Company to part with their money. Many people hate him as they have lost their life saving investing in his company - Dryships.<br />
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Despite losing big money investing in his company, I did not blame him as it is all my decision and my instinct to invest in Dryships. The reason I am including this post in my blog is because I hope to remember my mistake and to remind me not to commit this silly mistake again in the coming future.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWGRozHPviY8d8aCE-FCSk20LCSWmfLOAVZkSlR99lqItW166lA3HOtx7nASIKp3GH97-gxRwi9RmAyM7wgGv9jeZtSNpLWNXJeMK3Dq-4cR1XTxHYdbCVs8gyCYNgqNBGEox5BhiTFdWh/s1600/dry1.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; cssfloat: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" kba="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWGRozHPviY8d8aCE-FCSk20LCSWmfLOAVZkSlR99lqItW166lA3HOtx7nASIKp3GH97-gxRwi9RmAyM7wgGv9jeZtSNpLWNXJeMK3Dq-4cR1XTxHYdbCVs8gyCYNgqNBGEox5BhiTFdWh/s1600/dry1.png" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: left;">I have speculated Dryship at an entry price of $3.85. This is a very big mistake that I have made, as my instinct at that time is based purely on speculation coupled with some careless analysis of the chart. I made another mistake by following the herd during the capitulation process and sold at the rock bottom price of $2.40 instead of waiting for it to bounce back to the $2.40 level.</div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none; clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJGVoo4zeT4LleBjgieNQTRdJmoufC1O1Txs-AB7ovkCt_gqRvQ9Jr3j52O7izxf-r6S5_2rvhFU-JHzP3X9AHnfKT3uqc1mcbnLaT8bKTKJG3cOnIgOBUfV_DlVwv-Zc2tdIe-7fQohb1/s1600/dry2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" kba="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJGVoo4zeT4LleBjgieNQTRdJmoufC1O1Txs-AB7ovkCt_gqRvQ9Jr3j52O7izxf-r6S5_2rvhFU-JHzP3X9AHnfKT3uqc1mcbnLaT8bKTKJG3cOnIgOBUfV_DlVwv-Zc2tdIe-7fQohb1/s1600/dry2.png" /></a></div>The mistake that I have made is thinking that $3.90 is a strong support and will never be broken. Even though, it was broken later, I did not let go my position instead holding on to it thinking that it will bounce back to the support level. However, it did not, it kept dropping furiously to the rock bottom price at $2.40.<br />
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Second mistake is I shall have wait for Dryship to convincingly break the downward trend line before I jump into this horrible ship.<br />
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This is a very big mistake that I have made for 2011 and I have to bear with it for a long time before it starts to fade off in my memory.<br />
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I hope that I won't repeat this silly and careless mistake again in 2012.The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-44909959259451249892012-01-12T05:15:00.000-08:002012-01-12T07:53:51.077-08:00MGM Resorts International What Now?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiADtgcTxf8ABAjSu5TgYV7_VrXfo0aynyNkK4_xM2cX4pJqTK-DrRSBf14RN63PzakQcv0r3ZIWJb2h-9XqSEiX2hI2Gxg8COjqPhKK9S_bVqmviPQ7TLdikSEdTbljrnOhoDewP-QZxkF/s1600/1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" kba="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiADtgcTxf8ABAjSu5TgYV7_VrXfo0aynyNkK4_xM2cX4pJqTK-DrRSBf14RN63PzakQcv0r3ZIWJb2h-9XqSEiX2hI2Gxg8COjqPhKK9S_bVqmviPQ7TLdikSEdTbljrnOhoDewP-QZxkF/s1600/1.png" /></a></div><div align="left" class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">I have bought MGM at the attractive of $10.67. I thought that it was an attractive price at that point in time and the chart shows an uptrend movement. However, to my dismal the MGM stock price eventually drop down to the lowest point at $9. Do I press the panic button and sell? No! I keep my calm and cool as I believe that eventually the price will go up back to the important resistance at $16 (please refer to my previous post at <a href="http://www.themarketoracle.blogspot.com/2012/01/mgm-international-to-double-in-2012.html">http://www.themarketoracle.blogspot.com/2012/01/mgm-international-to-double-in-2012.html</a>) </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">As of writing now, MGM has already reached $11.96 for a 12% gained for me. Now the important decision here for me is when should I sell MGM and take profit. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhna3bFj21Mj9ARICFW69T0V_y1_8nn-ubjKXKDtFuecM5mdLmOIQ2tH-NH2G5m6Lea8RQye-0X0D3tdLUO3-kTLft-WH_MK6bxvzt1_d1GEHvAImITxEaCZhMUtLhkf3esPKDyXazJtsLD/s1600/b.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="480px" kba="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhna3bFj21Mj9ARICFW69T0V_y1_8nn-ubjKXKDtFuecM5mdLmOIQ2tH-NH2G5m6Lea8RQye-0X0D3tdLUO3-kTLft-WH_MK6bxvzt1_d1GEHvAImITxEaCZhMUtLhkf3esPKDyXazJtsLD/s640/b.jpg" width="640px" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">Currently the Victory is Mine!</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6EDXoGcTWzj8jHi2cNZRp7f1zputZXpp_W307CG25Dvffip1Ta_RoRAi7DjBeanOz58Vap2XwA12E6NgTJyWtpI54e44D0uuO9Av9j4vEfJy3R6c0NYZhfkPFMNcneXD6xMrL6ZYz1BX8/s1600/c.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="228px" kba="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6EDXoGcTWzj8jHi2cNZRp7f1zputZXpp_W307CG25Dvffip1Ta_RoRAi7DjBeanOz58Vap2XwA12E6NgTJyWtpI54e44D0uuO9Av9j4vEfJy3R6c0NYZhfkPFMNcneXD6xMrL6ZYz1BX8/s640/c.jpg" width="640px" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">Current Profit at the MGM price of $11.96 is $6,535</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Based on my experience and knowledge, I believe the time is not ripe yet to take profit. I will wait until all the speculators who have chased the stock upward increase the adrenaline rush and make a big push ahead. That will be the time when I will take profit. When there is a big push ahead due to the unreasonable behavior of herd, the price will eventually correct itself before any speculators can continue to push this stock upward to the price of $16. As many speculators will have to cover long their position. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">That's it for now, I will update all again when I have sold this stock for the maximum profit, I hope.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Cheers!!</div>The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-71884317975746573202012-01-04T06:37:00.000-08:002012-01-04T07:26:23.618-08:00MGM International to Double In 2012<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgLufRDcxwkzEdQTlgzslx-TpuoKMK4fRcgACR-Lt7El1SC4RJwn27J_S_GMzX_JhrhyA1ICEVqLeDFAG1wjM6oFv_D7y6QQX8-obL2-MdWCtBjPMJ5HYAJ_m6eKGkWVW-KfXKv-Kgcsy-H/s1600/1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgLufRDcxwkzEdQTlgzslx-TpuoKMK4fRcgACR-Lt7El1SC4RJwn27J_S_GMzX_JhrhyA1ICEVqLeDFAG1wjM6oFv_D7y6QQX8-obL2-MdWCtBjPMJ5HYAJ_m6eKGkWVW-KfXKv-Kgcsy-H/s1600/1.jpg" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"> The Majestic MGM City Center in Los Angeles</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhP5YhDU1FE3FYdn2r2weIJQv15paWkXKNRXgz9WnHYKhFbbcC8-D7gHOTacKqfGbbpOeG6ZUy63107TNoaZpJgAdBiFV3MOWFoVhCdfPOnHE8IlE4jvvyS_9GWGklBWXA1ThOfoQAA0K77/s1600/2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhP5YhDU1FE3FYdn2r2weIJQv15paWkXKNRXgz9WnHYKhFbbcC8-D7gHOTacKqfGbbpOeG6ZUy63107TNoaZpJgAdBiFV3MOWFoVhCdfPOnHE8IlE4jvvyS_9GWGklBWXA1ThOfoQAA0K77/s1600/2.jpg" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"> The Front Entrance View of City Center in Las Vegas</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div style="text-align: left;">Well it has been more than 7 months since my last analysis on March, 2011. Well, I am back now, and this time, I am going to analyze MGM International. The title for this post may be a little too much as, I believe, it is indeed very tough for MGM to double in price for 2012. The title is indeed to catch your attention for it. However, I am determine to speculate MGM stock based on the range trading from $9 to $16.</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEizXofFKI_8GVO2x1ICWOOuS970PQgg07b2Dn9WUwVyEwqHCtCGOr_EMzDUnkBpp0xrRMZtMtP3Gym72_lGqHxF23pQR7x6K-3jWGXZjZ49xIrIh_ERe9LiBnfd6c6praaRuCTU6wpPzgo_/s1600/3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEizXofFKI_8GVO2x1ICWOOuS970PQgg07b2Dn9WUwVyEwqHCtCGOr_EMzDUnkBpp0xrRMZtMtP3Gym72_lGqHxF23pQR7x6K-3jWGXZjZ49xIrIh_ERe9LiBnfd6c6praaRuCTU6wpPzgo_/s1600/3.png" /></a></div>Based on the long term chart, MGM is currently showing a side way trend with price ranging from the resistance at $16 and the support $9. As can be seen from the chart above, MGM has tried 3 attempt to break the upward resistance of $16 but failed miserably. For those who are in this for a long term and expect price to double or quadruple, I will suggest to go in if it manage to break the resistance $16 level and the $16 level became a support. Based on the above chart, for the short term, I am expecting MGM to retest the resistance at $16. Going in at current price of around $10-$11, one is expecting to make more than 40% it can climb up and test the resistance of $16. Both MACD and Stochastic indicators do not really show any major meaning for MGM next movement.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjXalUSqB7-BPfAReu_r3cHRYGA9UPZM2qLWsByt87sqfZ3VD_A3nnWVzCOMCycQceqbaPVeOJY76dHv92KKUcG8gHOkLj0OcAhHc8ink8jvY-woPY0NTY8yKGaCGO4qUG1jysp0ow892gl/s1600/4.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjXalUSqB7-BPfAReu_r3cHRYGA9UPZM2qLWsByt87sqfZ3VD_A3nnWVzCOMCycQceqbaPVeOJY76dHv92KKUcG8gHOkLj0OcAhHc8ink8jvY-woPY0NTY8yKGaCGO4qUG1jysp0ow892gl/s1600/4.png" /></a></div> As per the short term chart indication, it looks very positive. I am particularly very interested in the candlestick formation as per the red circle above. For me, I name it "staircase" pattern which is very strong upward indication in the short run. I have seen many candlestick pattern such as that above and 90% of the time, the stocks will continue its upward movement. <br />
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Based on the MACD indication, it does indicates that MGM will continue its upward move as it is currently still way below the overbought level.<br />
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As per the stochastic indicator, it does show a little negative view as it touches the 80% line above which indicates a slight overbought situation. However, as long as the blue line did not cross below the red line and both line moving downward, it is still an upward trend for me.<br />
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As for the volume indication during the last 4 days, I particularly like the strong upward push in high volume as per shown on the arrow in the above chart, which is then follow by 3 low volume indication. It means that the upward push is currently consolidating with low volume for 3 days, before another upward push with strong volume to prevail. <br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvAz_fzp2lcIJceT4ixMF_AcB8Jq8nH_hnQtIQIWmuV5sJRcHnyJMxYsd3kzKc34yoPMbSQsJpJ21R7yKqrlREV7pHWK5sxpoXLyYLwskJ9CnZ1UnG7Bcc_EeVl-SJraunBUMdJN4edVen/s1600/6.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvAz_fzp2lcIJceT4ixMF_AcB8Jq8nH_hnQtIQIWmuV5sJRcHnyJMxYsd3kzKc34yoPMbSQsJpJ21R7yKqrlREV7pHWK5sxpoXLyYLwskJ9CnZ1UnG7Bcc_EeVl-SJraunBUMdJN4edVen/s1600/6.jpg" /> </a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> Extract from CNBC</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">As from the Sales Revenue for MGM for the last quarter, I am very please as it does show a big jump from $1.8 billion to $2.2 billion. It looks superbly good to me. If MGM can continue to show Sales Revenue increased as per the last quarter, I am very convince that MGM stock price will not only double but quadruple. Even though MGM still shown a negative 25 cents per share, I am convince that it will break even or turn to profit, if the magnificent performance for MGM to continue.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">For the market news on this stock, I have few articles and analyst upgrade for this stock. This is also one of the reason which prompted me to go and bought around 70% of my cash holding in this stock. Most of the news indicated that MGM is currently turning around with substantial growth in revenue for the coming months. MGM largest investment in City Center Las Vegas has also started to bear fruit with increasing RevPAR ("Revenue Per Available Room") improve tremendously. Other analyst pointed that the Jewel of the Crown business in Macau is also performing very well and also manage to increase its revenue percentage as compared with competitors such as LVS, Melco Crown, and Wynn. It means that it is actually stealing more and more customer from its competitors which is a very positive indication for MGM stocks.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"> </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">I have bought MGM International at an average price of around $10.70. I am expecting MGM to move at least to $14 before it starts to consolidate and then we should decide again based on the chart at the point in time. </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">For those who want to follow me and bet on this stock. You can go in at any price below $11 for a short term gain of around 25% at least.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Although I am not from any licensed brokerage firm or famous analyst in the top financial firms, but I am confidence that I will make profit this time on MGM. I did not receive a single cents or goodies from anybody, unlike those licensed brokerage or analyst out there, I am analyzing this stock MGM International purely based on my fate and believe on my many years of investing in the ever turbulence stock market world.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">Follow as you wish. Last but not least, Happy New Year and good luck on trading. May you double your profit for 2012. All the best!!!!!!</div>The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8523133562993500550.post-17901906295520858882011-03-28T09:15:00.000-07:002012-01-02T00:15:06.677-08:00AXT Inc.<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"></div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-DJLyfeMhFGnkeLdtMbksIKH98f4Ezl33aeIeB57V86VlYErmdyW51lcRGymu44INPQqGkjBbfuV8hwz55Ds_u1JHuwBPmo7gAuZmOJ7F8MzIuACiGvxUy62M52ZcE5BnljcP_DIhmebx/s1600/2011Mar-AXT+Inc-600x600.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" r6="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-DJLyfeMhFGnkeLdtMbksIKH98f4Ezl33aeIeB57V86VlYErmdyW51lcRGymu44INPQqGkjBbfuV8hwz55Ds_u1JHuwBPmo7gAuZmOJ7F8MzIuACiGvxUy62M52ZcE5BnljcP_DIhmebx/s1600/2011Mar-AXT+Inc-600x600.png" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><i>Click on the above image to enlarge</i></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br />
</div>I am currently fully invested in "ATXI" at $6.2. I am currently up by 18% as of time of writing. Should I realize my gain now or should I wait for this stock to go up further? Anyone know the answer? I am afraid not. Nobody will know the freaking answer unless you are a god, angel, demon or someone who have the superpower ability.<br />
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Anyway, back to the serious issue here, I am currently expecting this stock to move up to at least $8 and above. However I foresee that this stock will hit a major resistance at around $8.80 area. The reason is I am targeting this stock to correct at least 50% of the recent downturn. I am taking the recent downward move and divided by half to get my long target. It is further supported by the technical indicators such as MACD, RSI and Stochastic Indicator. I am expecting that those indicators will move up to touch the red circle above before it starts to hit the resistance and then move futher downward. It will coincide nicely with the 50% retracement for the downward move that I have predicted. <br />
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I will consider to sell this stock only if it can hit above $8.40 and above. Otherwise, I will patiently wait for this stock to perform as per my expectation. After all, AXTI is a fundamental sound stock with a good solig earning growth. Kindly refer to my previous post for the revenue growth report. <br />
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I will post my earning report once I sold this stock. At the meantime, kindly stay tune to this blog for further Sucker Punch activities!The Market Oraclehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04182629967485160776noreply@blogger.com1