Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Melco Crown Entertainment Must Rally Today! Feb 1, 2012

This morning, Feb 1, 2012, Melco Crown ("MPEL") must continue it's upward rally otherwise, my investment will be futile.

There are 2  strong and valid reasons that I believe MPEL will up at least 3% today.
1st Reason: Mpel yesterday closing candlestick is showing a bullish harami pattern.
2nd Reason: This morning at 3.41 am, Bloomberg News just reported that Macau Revenue For January 2012 rises 35%. (The details of the news are per the below post)

Yesterday, I am glad that Mpel perform as per my expectation. If yesterday, Mpel continues to go down, then I will be in deep trouble. The past 2 days tumbled of more than 6% is to shake off the weak investor and for the heavy speculators to cover the long position.
I believe a new really and new uptrend will happen this morning. For a new investor, he or she would have sold his position when Mpel tumbled more than 6%, however, as for me, instead of selling my stock in Mpel, I buy another 200 stock of Mpel at the price of $11.13. I have used my emtire January salary to buy the 200 stock and now I am left with nothing to spend for February while waiting for my new salary. Is it worth the risk and the trouble. Yes! It is worth everything as I believe Mpel will continues to outperform in the market. For the near short term, it will match the price of MGM at $13.00 as I don't believe MGM should worth more than Mpel.

 (Bullish Harami Explanation from Investopedia Website)

I have added another 200 stock yesterday, my total stock for Mpel currently stand at 6000.


Disclosure: Currently I have zero money in my Bank Account as I am using it all to purchase Mpel. I am thinking to use my credit card to help me go through my Feb expenses. I am currently heavily invested in Mpel stock of 6000 and I am expecting Mpel to rally to $15 in the near future and to $20 for a 90% gain by the end of this year. However, in between now and end of this year, I may sell and buy Mpel as I am an experience swing trader.


Macau January Casino Revenue Rises 35% on New Year Gains
February 01, 2012, 3:21 AM EST

By Vinicy Chan
Feb. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Casino revenue in Macau, the world’s largest gambling hub, rose 35 percent in January, beating analyst estimates as Chinese tourists spent more during the Lunar New Year holiday.
Revenue at casinos in Macau, the only place in China where they are legal, jumped 35 percent to 25 billion patacas ($3.13 billion) in January, according to data from Macau’s Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau. That was higher than the median estimate of 24 billion patacas from seven analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News.
Chinese gamblers have fueled growth in the former Portuguese colony, where gambling sales have more than tripled in the past four years. Las Vegas Sands Corp., the world’s biggest casino company by market value, generated 60 percent of its revenue in Macau in 2010 after opening its first location in the city in 2004.
Visitors to locations belonging to Sands China Ltd., Asia’s biggest casino operator by market value, rose by 5 percent to 6 percent to more than 1 million during the Lunar New Year holiday from Jan. 23 to Jan. 29, the company said on Jan. 30.
Sands China, the Hong Kong-listed unit of billionaire Sheldon Adelson’s Las Vegas-based company, climbed 1.3 percent to HK$26.60 in Hong Kong trading at 3:26 p.m. local time. SJM Holdings Ltd., Asia’s biggest casino company founded by billionaire Stanley Ho, gained 1.9 percent to HK$14.14.
MGM China Holdings Ltd. fell 0.2 percent, Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd. jumped 2.5 percent, Wynn Macau Ltd. gained 1.9 percent and Melco Crown Entertainment Ltd. moved 0.2 percent higher. The benchmark Hang Seng Index dipped 0.5 percent.
--Editors: Anjali Cordeiro, Stephanie Wong


  1. Congrats, MO, you picked up 8% in the last two trading days!

    Perhaps you should let this one ride, with a close trailing stop.

    Thanks for the candlestick tutelage; very helful.

  2. thanks Hans, I am thinking to continue to ride Mpel to the very strong resistance at $16 level. However, as for trailing stop, I currently did not have any plan on that as I will sell my share on the spot if i sense something wrong or the candlestick candle and the technical indicators point to a sell. At this point however, all technical indicators is on my side that Mpel will go up to at least $16 level.

    market oracle.


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